Match Info

EFL Trophy

Date: 11 November 2025, Tuesday

Location: Exercise Stadium (Harrogate)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Harrogate Town		Newcastle United U21

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.9	4.33
				Watch
	1.65	3.95	4.15
	1.71	4.18	4.21
	1.26	5.64	9.46	Watch
	1.67	4.2	4.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.66)	4.37 ↑ (4)	5.28 ↑ (4.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Harrogate Town
59.9%

Draw
21.9%

Newcastle United U21
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56%

23.2%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56%

23.2%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Harrogate Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Newcastle United U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Harrogate Town than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newcastle United U21 than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	20%	10%

Harrogate Town - Newcastle United U21 Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Harrogate will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Newcastle U21 will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Harrogate: 50.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Harrogate (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Belshaw J. (G) 20. Faulkner B. 15. O'Connor A. 4. Evans J. (C) 30. Gibson L. 22. Smith R. 27. Fox B. 21. Taylor E. 17. Sutton L. 19. Hill T. 9. McCoulsky S.	35. Taylor J. (G) 43. McArthur C. 65. Pivas M. 38. Heffernan C. (C) 30. Ashby H. 44. Harrison A. 54. Munda A. 64. Park Seung-soo 85. Alabi S. 62. Neave S. 40. Parkinson B.
Substitutes
2. Asare Z. 6. Burrell W. 25. Cursons T. 14. McAleny C. 8. Morris B. 18. Muldoon J. 1. Oxley M. (G)	46. Bailey S. 55. Brayson J. 56. Bryant T. 47. Charlton D. 59. Harrison A. (G) 49. Palmer D. 42. Thompson C.
Coaches
Weaver S.	Lawrence A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
12', 1 - 0, Taylor E. ⚽,
25', Gibson L. ↓, Asare Z. ↑,
38', Hill T. ↓, McAleny C. ↑,
45+4', 1 - 1, Harrison A. ⚽, Ashby H. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Munda A. ↓, Bailey S. ↑,
46', McAleny C. ↓, Cursons T. ↑,
62', Ashby H. ↓, Thompson C. ↑,
62', Parkinson B. ↓, Brayson J. ↑,
64', 2 - 1, Cursons T. ⚽, Sutton L. (A),
78', 3 - 1, Cursons T. ⚽,
83', Harrison A. ↓, Bryant T. ↑,
86', 🟨,
86', Faulkner B. ↓, Burrell W. ↑,
88', Neave S. ↓, Palmer D. ↑,

Preview

Harrogate is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Newcastle U21 is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Recently, Newcastle U21 has had a series of away games.

In this match, Harrogate is considered a favorite.

We predict that Newcastle U21 will win today's game, with odds of 4.35.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Harrogate won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Including home match between the teams, Harrogate won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Harrogate Town
English League Two
08.11.25	Harrogate Town - Oldham Athletic	0:1 ✺
English FA Cup
01.11.25	Mansfield Town - Harrogate Town	3:2 ✺
English League Two
25.10.25	Harrogate Town - Newport County	0:3 ✺
18.10.25	Colchester United - Harrogate Town	3:1 ✺
11.10.25	Fleetwood Town - Harrogate Town	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Newcastle United U21
English Premier League 2
08.11.25	Newcastle United U21 - Burnley U21	3:2 ✺
31.10.25	Ipswich Town U21 - Newcastle United U21	1:0 ✺
27.10.25	Crystal Palace U21 - Newcastle United U21	0:2 ✺
English EFL Trophy
15.10.25	Mansfield Town - Newcastle United U21	2:3 penalties ✺
English National League Cup
08.10.25	Boston United - Newcastle United U21	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 33.9 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

English EFL Trophy
05.10.21	Harrogate Town - Newcastle United U21	2:0

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