Match Info

FRANCE: NATIONAL - ROUND 34

Date: 26 May 2023, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stade Louis Dugauguez (Sedan) 🌤️ ...


	Sedan		Villefranche

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.4	2.3
	2.7	3.15	2.38
	2.88	3.33	2.52
	2.55	3.4	2.35
	2.73	3.58	2.33	Watch
	2.6	3.45	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↑ (2.39)	3.39 (3.39)	2.37 ↓ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sedan
34.3%

Draw
27%

Villefranche
38.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.1%

27.6%

33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4%

28.5%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sedan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Villefranche has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Villefranche's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sedan than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sedan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villefranche than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Villefranche, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	44.4%	11.1%

Sedan - Villefranche Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Sedan will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Villefranche will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sedan: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 6 and 9).

Recent matches Sedan is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Villefranche is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Sedan won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Sedan won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sedan
French Ligue 3
19.05.23	Stade Briochin - Sedan	2:1 ✺
12.05.23	Sedan - Châteauroux	3:2 ✺
28.04.23	Cholet - Sedan	1:2 ✺
21.04.23	Sedan - Versailles	1:2 ✺
14.04.23	Bastia-Borgo - Sedan	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LWWLT
- FC Villefranche
French Ligue 3
19.05.23	Villefranche - Le Mans	1:0 ✺
12.05.23	Villefranche - Stade Briochin	5:1 ✺
28.04.23	Châteauroux - Villefranche	1:5 ✺
21.04.23	Villefranche - Cholet	0:0 ✺
14.04.23	Versailles - Villefranche	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
12.08.22	Villefranche - Sedan	1:1
14.01.22	Sedan - Villefranche	2:1
16.08.21	Villefranche - Sedan	1:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Villefranche
French Ligue 3
31.10.26	Orleans - Villefranche	✺

Sedan - Villefranche