Match Info

National - Round 25

Date: 13 March 2026, Friday

Location: Stade Gaston Petit (Châteauroux)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	Châteauroux		Villefranche

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.1	3.35
	2.09	3.27	3.75
	2.06	3.19	3.41	Watch
	2.05	2.9	3.3
	2.04	3.36	3.56	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 (2.07)	3.16 ↓ (3.29)	3.47 ↑ (3.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Châteauroux
44.5%

Draw
29.1%

Villefranche
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

27.8%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

27.2%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Châteauroux has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Villefranche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Châteauroux than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villefranche than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	40%	0%

Châteauroux - Villefranche Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Châteauroux will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Lavallee L. (G) 39. Beneddine M. 20. Bouaoune I. 9. Mupemba N. 13. Jean C. 4. Diarra D. 17. Magassa B. 8. Dembele S. (C) 12. Koembo J. 19. Piquionne L. 27. Boussaid W.	1. Pean S. (G) 22. Etoga L. 14. Dekoke N. (C) 6. Bayeye B. J. 25. Ouedraogo L. 7. Louzif M. 4. Tshibuabua M. 8. Marcel V. 11. Assef M. 18. Keita S. 27. Mixtur K.
Substitutes
21. Chahid Y. 10. Freitas R. 28. Mopila S. 14. Verdier Y. 5. Wade P.	17. Camelo L. 26. Sabihi N. 2. Sbai H. 12. Testud K. 24. Touho M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Beneddine M. 🟨,
19', Diarra D. 🟨,
32', Etoga L. 🟨,
42', Marcel V. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Etoga L. ↓, Camelo L. ↑,
47', 0 - 1, Assef M. (Penalty Awarded),
53', Bouaoune I. 🟨,
56', Marcel V. 🟨,
63', Louzif M. ↓, Sbai H. ↑,
70', Mupemba N. ↓, Wade P. ↑,
70', Jean C. ↓, Verdier Y. ↑,
71', Keita S. ↓, Sabihi N. ↑,
82', Koembo J. ↓, Chahid Y. ↑,
88', Diarra D. ↓, Freitas R. ↑,
90', Boussaid W. 🟨,
90+5', Assef M. ↓, Testud K. ↑,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Châteauroux won 1.

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Châteauroux will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Châteauroux won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:16. (average 1.2:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Châteauroux won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:7. (average 1:1.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Villefranche	9	1	1	7	7:22	-15	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Châteauroux
French Ligue 3
06.03.26	Caen - Châteauroux	2:2 ✺
27.02.26	Châteauroux - Paris 13 Atletico	0:1 ✺
13.02.26	Châteauroux - Rouen FC	1:2 ✺
06.02.26	Orleans - Châteauroux	2:2 ✺
30.01.26	Châteauroux - Le Puy	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TLLTL
- FC Villefranche
French Ligue 3
06.03.26	Villefranche - Valenciennes	2:3 ✺
27.02.26	Sochaux - Villefranche	2:1 ✺
20.02.26	Villefranche - Dijon	1:2 ✺
13.02.26	Fleury 91 - Villefranche	2:2 ✺
06.02.26	Villefranche - Versailles	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
03.10.25	Villefranche - Châteauroux	2:1
04.04.25	Châteauroux - Villefranche	2:2
08.11.24	Villefranche - Châteauroux	2:2
03.05.24	Châteauroux - Villefranche	1:0
15.12.23	Villefranche - Châteauroux	2:2
28.04.23	Châteauroux - Villefranche	1:5
09.12.22	Villefranche - Châteauroux	1:1

Châteauroux - Villefranche: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide