Match Info

FRANCE: NATIONAL - ROUND 29

Date: 14 April 2023, Friday

Location: Stade Paul-Antoniotti (Borgo)


	Bastia-Borgo		Sedan

	1	X	2
	3.1	3	2.1
	3.15	3.05	2.14
	3.45	3.22	2.25
	3.3	2.9	2.15
	3.58	3.08	2.12	Watch
	3.15	3.1	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.29 ↑ (2.7)	3.06 ↑ (3)	2.16 ↓ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bastia-Borgo
27.8%

Draw
29.9%

Sedan
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.3%

30%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8%

29.6%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bastia-Borgo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bastia-Borgo's form might have worsened.

Sedan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sedan's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bastia-Borgo than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bastia-Borgo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sedan than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sedan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	4.8%	95.2%

Bastia Borgo - Sedan Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Sedan will win (votes: 20 - 95.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sedan: 86.1% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bastia-Borgo won 1.

Bastia-Borgo is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Sedan is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sedan will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Bastia-Borgo won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Bastia-Borgo won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Bastia-Borgo
French Ligue 3
07.04.23	Villefranche - Bastia-Borgo	2:0 ✺
31.03.23	Bastia-Borgo - Stade Briochin	2:3 ✺
24.03.23	Châteauroux - Bastia-Borgo	0:1 ✺
18.03.23	Bastia-Borgo - Cholet	1:2 ✺
13.03.23	Versailles - Bastia-Borgo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 LLWLL
- Sedan
French Ligue 3
10.04.23	Sedan - Nancy	0:0 ✺
03.04.23	Concarneau - Sedan	0:1 ✺
24.03.23	Sedan - Dunkerque	1:3 ✺
17.03.23	Orleans - Sedan	2:2 ✺
10.03.23	Sedan - Bourg-Péronnas	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 TWLTT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
25.11.22	Sedan - Bastia-Borgo	2:1
21.01.22	Bastia-Borgo - Sedan	3:1
20.08.21	Sedan - Bastia-Borgo	1:0
Coupe De France
17.11.18	Bastia-Borgo - Sedan	2:4
French National 1 - Group C
13.01.18	Sedan - Bastia-Borgo	2:0
19.08.17	Bastia-Borgo - Sedan	0:0

Bastia-Borgo - Sedan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide