Match Info

Druga NL - Round 29

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday


	Segesta		Hrvatski Dragovoljac

	1	X	2
	1.29	4.75	8.1
	1.31	5.09	6.6
	1.33	4.92	7.24	Watch
	1.3	4.5	8.5
	1.26	5	9.3
	1.4	3.6	5.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.42)	4.64 ↑ (4.13)	7.51 ↑ (6.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Segesta
68.6%

Draw
19.4%

Hrvatski Dragovoljac
12%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.7%

21.9%

14.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.7%

21.2%

14%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Segesta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Hrvatski Dragovoljac has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Segesta than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hrvatski Dragovoljac than the current prediction. (+2%)

Segesta - Hrvatski Dragovoljac Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Spehar D. ⚽,
18', 2 - 0, Kukoc T. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
77', 2 - 1, ⚽,
83', 3 - 1, Culina N. ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Prva NL and 15 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Segesta won 1.

Segesta is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Hrvatski Dragovoljac has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Hrvatski Dragovoljac may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Segesta is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Segesta won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:12. (average 0.7:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Segesta won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.5:2.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Dragovoljac	7	3	1	3	9:9	0	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HNK Segesta
Croatian Druga NL
16.05.26	Solin - Segesta	1:2 ✺
09.05.26	Segesta - Mladost Ždralovi	0:1 ✺
02.05.26	Uljanik Pula - Segesta	1:1 ✺
25.04.26	Segesta - Trnje Zagreb	3:0 ✺
18.04.26	Dugo Selo - Segesta	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLTWW
- NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac
Croatian Druga NL
15.05.26	Hrvatski Dragovoljac - Radnik Križevci	0:0 ✺
09.05.26	Đakovo Croatia - Hrvatski Dragovoljac	0:1 ✺
01.05.26	Hrvatski Dragovoljac - Jadran Luka Ploče	0:5 ✺
24.04.26	Varteks Varazdin - Hrvatski Dragovoljac	0:0 ✺
18.04.26	Lučko - Hrvatski Dragovoljac	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 TWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Croatian Druga NL
21.11.25	Hrvatski Dragovoljac - Segesta	0:0
31.05.25	Hrvatski Dragovoljac - Segesta	4:0
30.11.24	Segesta - Hrvatski Dragovoljac	1:3
Croatian Prva NL
24.04.16	Hrvatski Dragovoljac - Segesta	2:3
06.11.15	Hrvatski Dragovoljac - Segesta	1:0
05.09.15	Segesta - Hrvatski Dragovoljac	0:2

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