Match Info

Druga NL - Round 24

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday


	Dugo Selo		Segesta

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.5	1.88
	3.15	3.64	1.92
	3.29	3.78	1.91	Watch
	3.3	3.3	1.85
	3.49	3.62	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.33 ↓ (4.08)	3.57 ↓ (4)	1.88 ↑ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dugo Selo
27%

Draw
25.2%

Segesta
47.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.2%

22.6%

55.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.3%

21.7%

57.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dugo Selo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Segesta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Segesta might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dugo Selo than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dugo Selo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Segesta than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Segesta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Dugo Selo - Segesta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Spehar D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Prva NL).

Dugo Selo has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Segesta is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Dugo Selo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Segesta is the team to beat.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Dugo Selo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 1:2.7).

Including home match between the teams, Dugo Selo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Dugo Selo	7	4	1	2	11:6	5	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Dugo Selo
Croatian Druga NL
11.04.26	Radnik Križevci - Dugo Selo	0:1 ✺
04.04.26	Dugo Selo - Đakovo Croatia	0:0 ✺
28.03.26	Jadran Luka Ploče - Dugo Selo	2:0 ✺
21.03.26	Dugo Selo - Varteks Varazdin	1:1 ✺
13.03.26	Hrvatski Dragovoljac - Dugo Selo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WTLTL
- HNK Segesta
Croatian Druga NL
10.04.26	Grobničan - Segesta	4:1 ✺
03.04.26	Kustošija - Segesta	1:2 ✺
28.03.26	Segesta - Uskok Klis	3:1 ✺
21.03.26	Bjelovar - Segesta	0:1 ✺
14.03.26	Segesta - Lučko	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Croatian Druga NL
18.10.25	Segesta - Dugo Selo	3:0
03.05.25	Dugo Selo - Segesta	1:1
02.11.24	Segesta - Dugo Selo	4:2

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