Match Info

ISRAEL: LIGAT HA'AL - ROUND 22

Date: 11 February 2023, Saturday

Location: Ness Ziona Stadium (Ness Ziona)

Referee: Palma R. (Cos)


	Sektzia Nes Tziona		Hapoel Haifa

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.4	2	Watch
	3.4	3.2	2.05
	3.65	3.15	1.98
	3.91	3.22	2.09
	3.58	3.35	2.01	Watch
	3.25	3.35	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.48 ↑ (2.77)	3.28 ↓ (3.28)	2.04 ↓ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sektzia Nes Tziona
26.5%

Draw
28.2%

Hapoel Haifa
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.3%

28.1%

38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9%

27.7%

39.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sektzia Nes Tziona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sektzia Nes Tziona's form might have worsened.

Hapoel Haifa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hapoel Haifa's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sektzia Nes Tziona than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sektzia Nes Tziona, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Haifa than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hapoel Haifa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.7%	38.5%	53.8%

Sektzia Nes Tziona - Hapoel Haifa Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Sektzia Nes Tziona will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Hapoel Haifa will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 38.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hapoel Haifa: 26.7% – 80.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 in the zone Ligat ha'Al (Relegation Group) and 9 in the zone Ligat ha'Al (Relegation Group)).

Sektzia Nes Tziona is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Hapoel Haifa is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Hapoel Haifa have a series of home games.

Hapoel Haifa will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Sektzia Nes Tziona won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Sektzia Nes Tziona won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sektzia Nes Tziona
Israeli Ligat haAl
04.02.23	Sektzia Nes Tziona - Hapoel Beer Sheva	0:1 ✺
28.01.23	Maccabi Netanya - Sektzia Nes Tziona	3:0 ✺
21.01.23	Sektzia Nes Tziona - Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin	0:0 ✺
14.01.23	Hapoel Tel Aviv - Sektzia Nes Tziona	1:1 ✺
08.01.23	Sektzia Nes Tziona - Maccabi Haifa	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LLTTL
- Hapoel Haifa FC
Israeli Ligat haAl
04.02.23	Hapoel Haifa - MS Ashdod	1:1 ✺
29.01.23	Hapoel Haifa - Hapoel Beer Sheva	0:1 ✺
21.01.23	Hapoel Haifa - Ironi Kiryat Shmona	1:0 ✺
14.01.23	Maccabi Netanya - Hapoel Haifa	1:0 ✺
07.01.23	Hapoel Haifa - Hapoel Hadera	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Toto Cup
07.12.22	Sektzia Nes Tziona - Hapoel Haifa	5:4
Israeli Ligat haAl
22.10.22	Hapoel Haifa - Sektzia Nes Tziona	0:1
22.02.20	Hapoel Haifa - Sektzia Nes Tziona	2:0
04.12.19	Sektzia Nes Tziona - Hapoel Haifa	1:2

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