Match Info

ASIA: AFC Champions League 2 - Round 5

Date: 28 November 2024, Thursday

Location: MBPJ Stadium (Petaling Jaya)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA AFC 3, beIN Sports MENA AFC 3, beIN Sports MENA AFC 3, TOD
China	QQ Sports
Hong-kong	HOY TV, M Plus Live
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	RCTI+
Malaysia	Sooka
Slovenia	SportKlub 3
Vietnam	FPT Play
World	Onefootball


	Selangor FA		Muangthong United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.2	3.2	2.75
	2.3	3.4	2.85	Watch
	2.25	3.4	2.92
	2.23	3.33	2.94	Watch
	2.24	3.44	2.9	Watch
	2.3	3.4	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (1.88)	3.36 ↓ (3.4)	2.87 ↓ (3.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Selangor FA
40.7%

Draw
27.3%

Muangthong United
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.2%

27.2%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

27%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Selangor FA has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Selangor FA's form might have worsened.

Muangthong United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Muangthong United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Selangor FA than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Selangor FA, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Muangthong United than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Muangthong United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Selangor FA - Muangthong United Predictions

Users Predictions: Selangor FA will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. bin Kamaruddin M. A. A. A. (G) 2. Cheng Q. 55. Haiqal H. 21. Baharudin S. 14. Khalili Z. 25. Jambor N. 6. Laine N. 92. Eshmurodov U. 16. Orozco Y. 11. Fortes A. 9. Fernandez R.	1. Phuthawchueak K. (G) 20. Strauss J. 5. Otakhonov A. 29. Kraikruan S. 22. Cissokho A. 14. Panthong S. 37. Autra P. 11. Roback E. 19. Do T. 10. Arjvirai P. 9. Brown F.
Substitutes
3. Abualnadi M. 10. Ajmal M. 33. Al Hafiz K. (G) 17. Asri D. 43. Bashah S. 77. Haiqal A. 7. Halim F. 1. Khalid K. (G) 22. Mazlan F. 44. Nazeem S. 90. Olwan A. 76. Yuslan I.	13. Daengsee S. 34. Khamyok K. 17. Laohabut T. 25. Rakyart S. (G) 30. Ruennin P. (G) 3. Saengdao C. 15. Supma C. 18. Tasa K. 21. Thodsanit P. 40. Wettayawong K. 6. Yoryoei T.
Coaches
Abdifitaah H.	Lettieri G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Cheng Q. ⚽,
45', Jambor N. 🟨,
45+2', Strauss J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Strauss J. ↓, Khamyok K. ↑,
53', 1 - 1, Brown F. ⚽,
57', Panthong S. 🟨,
58', Jambor N. ↓, Abualnadi M. ↑,
69', Roback E. ↓, Wettayawong K. ↑,
69', Panthong S. ↓, Thodsanit P. ↑,
72', Fortes A. ↓, Ajmal M. ↑,
72', Fernandez R. ↓, Olwan A. ↑,
76', 1 - 2, Arjvirai P. ⚽, Otakhonov A. (A),
79', Kraikruan S. ↓, Laohabut T. ↑,
81', Khalili Z. ↓, Halim F. ↑,
86', Brown F. ↓, Daengsee S. ↑,

Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Selangor won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Selangor FA
Malaysian Cup
23.11.24	Pahang - Selangor FA	1:1 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
07.11.24	Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors - Selangor FA	1:0 ✺
Malaysian Super League
02.11.24	Kedah FA - Selangor FA	0:1 ✺
27.10.24	Selangor FA - Johor Darul Takzim	0:3 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
23.10.24	Selangor FA - Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TLWLW
- Muangthong United
Thai League 1
23.11.24	Muangthong United - Bangkok United	2:1 ✺
11.11.24	Muangthong United - Nakhon Pathom United	3:1 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
07.11.24	Cebu FC - Muangthong United	2:9 ✺
Thai League 1
02.11.24	Muangthong United - Prachuap	0:2 ✺
Thai League Cup
30.10.24	Muang Trang United - Muangthong United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

AFC Champions League 2
19.09.24	Muangthong United - Selangor FA	1:1

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