Match Info

THAILAND: Thai League 1 - Round 13

Date: 11 November 2024, Monday

Location: Thunderdome Stadium (Nonthaburi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Thailand	True Ball Thai 1


	Muangthong United		Nakhon Pathom United

	1	X	2
	1.27	5.2	8.4	Watch
	1.29	5.75	9
	1.29	5.39	7.89	Watch
	1.22	5	9
	1.27	5.2	8.4	Watch
	1.28	5.2	7.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.37)	5.29 ↑ (4.98)	8.42 ↑ (6.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Muangthong United
71.9%

Draw
17.3%

Nakhon Pathom United
10.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67%

18.4%

14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.3%

17.3%

13.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Muangthong United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Nakhon Pathom United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Muangthong United than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nakhon Pathom United than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Muangthong United - Nakhon Pathom United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Phuthawchueak K. (G) 19. Do T. 29. Kraikruan S. 20. Strauss J. 22. Cissokho A. 34. Khamyok K. 37. Autra P. (C) 21. Thodsanit P. 10. Arjvirai P. 9. Brown F. 14. Panthong S.	39. Srathongjan W. (G) 27. Jaiphet A. 5. Filipovic V. 30. Creevey M. 31. Phumipha E. A. 4. Nakarawong T. 33. Sangrum A. 6. Phupha J. 13. Ablorh L. (C) 10. Ito T. 66. Chaolaokhwan S.
Substitutes
23. Busnja D. 24. Chaikultewin W. 13. Daengsee S. 27. Kwateh R. 17. Laohabut T. 5. Otakhonov A. 16. Praisuwan J. 25. Rakyart S. (G) 11. Roback E. 18. Tasa K. 36. Thodsanid P. 6. Yoryoei T.	65. Auksornsri T. 59. Buathong W. (G) 29. Changthong A. 14. Chim-ong T. 3. Chuchai C. 8. Kokfai N. 19. Montree T. 7. Phutchan K. 21. Prachobklang N. 99. Tumsuwan S. 11. Valdo
Coaches
Lettieri G.	Yodyardthai S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', Panthong S. 🟨,
25', Do T. 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 0, Arjvirai P. ⚽, Strauss J. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Phumipha E. A. ↓, Prachobklang N. ↑,
46', Chaolaokhwan S. ↓, Valdo ↑,
46', Thodsanit P. ↓, Roback E. ↑,
56', Kraikruan S. 🟨,
60', Nakarawong T. ↓, Otton C. ↑,
60', Creevey M. ↓, Auksornsri T. ↑,
61', Kraikruan S. ↓, Otakhonov A. ↑,
69', Sangrum A. ↓, Tumsuwan S. ↑,
80', Khamyok K. ↓, Praisuwan J. ↑,
84', Jaiphet A. ↓, Chuchai C. ↑,
86', Strauss J. ↓, Daengsee S. ↑,
90+8', Phuthawchueak K. 🟨,
90+10', 1 - 1, Valdo (Pen),
90+11', Panthong S. ↓, Thodsanid P. ↑,
90+17', 2 - 1, Brown F. (Pen),
90+20', 3 - 1, Roback E. ⚽,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 11 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Thai League 2).

Recent matches Muangthong United is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Nakhon Pathom United is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Muangthong United could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Nakhon Pathom United have a series of guest games.

In this match Muangthong United is indisputable favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Muangthong United won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:3 (average 2.5:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Muangthong United won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Muangthong United
AFC Champions League 2
07.11.24	Cebu FC - Muangthong United	2:9 ✺
Thai League 1
02.11.24	Muangthong United - Prachuap	0:2 ✺
Thai League Cup
30.10.24	Muang Trang United - Muangthong United	1:0 ✺
Thai League 1
27.10.24	Thai Port - Muangthong United	1:1 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
23.10.24	Muangthong United - Cebu FC	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLLTT
- Nakhon Pathom United FC
Thai League 1
03.11.24	Uthai Thani - Nakhon Pathom United	2:1 ✺
Thai League Cup
30.10.24	Samut Prakan City - Nakhon Pathom United	1:2 ✺
Thai League 1
26.10.24	Pathum United - Nakhon Pathom United	3:1 ✺
20.10.24	Nakhon Pathom United - Prachuap	1:1 ✺
06.10.24	Thai Port - Nakhon Pathom United	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Thai League 1
23.02.24	Nakhon Pathom United - Muangthong United	2:2
23.09.23	Muangthong United - Nakhon Pathom United	3:1

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