The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Selaya 17.8%
Draw 26.8%
Escobedo 55.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
18%
27.5%
54.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
17.8%
27.3%
55%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Selaya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
Escobedo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
The ML Model estimate for Selaya aligns with the current prediction.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Escobedo than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Selaya - Escobedo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, ⚽,
15', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 3 (Play Offs: )).
Selaya has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Escobedo has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Escobedo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Escobedo is seen as the favorite.
We predict that Escobedo will win today's game, with odds of 1.66.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Selaya won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 1:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Selaya won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).
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