Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 3 - Round 19

Date: 25 February 2026, Wednesday


	Castro		Escobedo

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.1	1.85
	3	3.1	2.18
	3.33	3.19	2.12
	3.35	2.99	2.23	Watch
	3.1	3	2.2
	3.22	3.22	2.23
	3.75	3.33	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.36 ↑ (3.35)	3.13 (3.13)	2.1 ↑ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Castro
27.2%

Draw
29.2%

Escobedo
43.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27%

28.9%

44.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.2%

29.2%

43.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Escobedo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

The ML Model estimate for Castro aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Escobedo than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Castro - Escobedo Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Martins C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
77', 1 - 1, ⚽,
86', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 3 (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Castro won 1.

Castro is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Escobedo has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Escobedo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Escobedo will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Castro won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 3:18. (average 0.4:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Castro won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 0:9. (average 0:1.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Castro	5	1	2	2	4:6	-2	5
12	Escobedo	5	1	2	2	3:7	-4	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Castro FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
15.02.26	Castro - Atlético Albericia	0:2 ✺
08.02.26	Castro - Cayón	2:0 ✺
01.02.26	Montañas del Pas - Castro	2:0 ✺
17.01.26	Vimenor - Castro	3:1 ✺
11.01.26	Tropezón - Castro	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LWLLL
- UM Escobedo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
21.02.26	Bezana - Escobedo	0:2 ✺
14.02.26	Escobedo - Torina	0:3 ✺
08.02.26	Barquereño - Escobedo	0:1 ✺
18.01.26	Escobedo - Cayón	3:0 ✺
10.01.26	Escobedo - Montañas del Pas	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
10.02.24	Escobedo - Castro	4:0
24.09.23	Castro - Escobedo	0:2
14.01.23	Escobedo - Castro	4:1
10.09.22	Castro - Escobedo	0:2
26.03.22	Escobedo - Castro	1:2
27.11.21	Castro - Escobedo	0:2
17.10.20	Castro - Escobedo	0:1

Castro - Escobedo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide