Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 3 - Round 19

Date: 25 February 2026, Wednesday


	Selaya		Guarnizo

	1	X	2
	3.1	3	2.1
	3.2	3.05	2.12
	3.2	3.32	2.13
	3.2	3.3	2.12	Watch
	3.2	3	2.1
	3.33	3.22	2.18
	2.8	3.1	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.15 ↑ (2.97)	3.14 ↑ (2.94)	2.16 ↓ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Selaya
28.9%

Draw
29%

Guarnizo
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.5%

30.8%

38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7%

31%

38.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Selaya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Guarnizo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Selaya than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guarnizo than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Selaya - Guarnizo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, ⚽,
43', 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
67', 0 - 2, ⚽,
84', 0 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Selaya is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Guarnizo is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Selaya may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Guarnizo has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Selaya won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 1.4:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Selaya won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Selaya	5	2	1	2	5:7	-2	7
13	Guarnizo	5	1	1	3	6:9	-3	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Selaya FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
22.02.26	Selaya - Tropezón	0:1 ✺
14.02.26	Cartes - Selaya	2:1 ✺
08.02.26	Selaya - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	0:4 ✺
31.01.26	Revilla - Selaya	0:0 ✺
17.01.26	Colindres - Selaya	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLLTT
- CD Guarnizo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
21.02.26	Guarnizo - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	0:1 ✺
15.02.26	Revilla - Guarnizo	1:2 ✺
08.02.26	Atlético Albericia - Guarnizo	1:3 ✺
31.01.26	Guarnizo - Colindres	1:0 ✺
17.01.26	Guarnizo - Laredo	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
23.04.22	Guarnizo - Selaya	4:1
19.12.21	Selaya - Guarnizo	1:1
10.03.21	Selaya - Guarnizo	2:0
29.11.20	Guarnizo - Selaya	0:1
22.12.19	Selaya - Guarnizo	2:1

Selaya - Guarnizo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide