The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Selaya 14.9%
Draw 36%
Tropezón 49.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
17.3%
25.6%
57.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
17%
25.1%
58.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Selaya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
Tropezón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tropezón might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Selaya than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tropezón than the current prediction. (+9.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tropezón could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Selaya - Tropezón Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
88', 0 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 3 (Play Offs: )).
Selaya is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Tropezón is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Tropezón may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Tropezón has had a series of home games.
In this match, Tropezón is the team to beat.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Selaya won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:8. (average 0.3:2.7).