Match Info

Date: 17 September 2022, Saturday


	Selfoss		KV Reykjavik

	1	X	2
	1.77	3.7	3.5
	1.87	3.95	3.35
	1.79	3.6	3.5
	1.81	4.19	3.69
	1.8	3.7	3.5
	1.83	4.1	3.44
	1.8	3.7	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (2.09)	3.85 ↑ (3.58)	3.5 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Selfoss
50.3%

Draw
23.7%

KV Reykjavik
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

25%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

25.9%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Selfoss has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Selfoss's performance.

KV Reykjavik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and KV Reykjavik might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Selfoss than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Selfoss that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KV Reykjavik than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Selfoss - KV Reykjavik Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 7 and 11 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2).

Selfoss is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches KV Reykjavik is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Selfoss will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Selfoss won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UMF Selfoss
Icelandic Division 1
10.09.22	Vestri - Selfoss	2:2 ✺
03.09.22	Selfoss - Grindavik	5:3 ✺
27.08.22	Fjölnir - Selfoss	4:1 ✺
23.08.22	Selfoss - Kórdrengir	0:1 ✺
18.08.22	Fylkir - Selfoss	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TWLLL
- KV Reykjavik
Icelandic Division 1
10.09.22	KV Reykjavik - Thor Akureyri	1:0 ✺
03.09.22	KV Reykjavik - Vestri	1:1 ✺
27.08.22	Þróttur Vogum - KV Reykjavik	1:2 ✺
23.08.22	KV Reykjavik - Grindavik	1:3 ✺
18.08.22	Afturelding - KV Reykjavik	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Division 1
09.07.22	KV Reykjavik - Selfoss	1:2

Selfoss - KV Reykjavik: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide