The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Selfoss 33.1%
Draw 24.4%
Leiknir Reykjavík 42.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.3%
25.2%
36.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38%
25%
36.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Selfoss has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Selfoss's form might have worsened.
Leiknir Reykjavík has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Leiknir Reykjavík's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Selfoss than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leiknir Reykjavík than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Leiknir Reykjavík, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
25%
50%
Selfoss - Leiknir Reykjavík Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Selfoss will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Leiknir R will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Leiknir R (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Blakala R. (G) 9. Birgisson A. 21. Brynjolfsson F. 10. Gil N. 25. Hardarson S. 5. Petursson J. (C) 11. Sanabria A. 3. Sveinsson R. 28. Sverrisson E. 15. Vokes A. 7. Willard H.
1. Olafsson O. (G) 7. Arnason R. 25. Brkovic D. 20. Gunnarsson D. 5. Halldorsson D. (C) 19. Hardarson A. 43. Hlifarsson K. S. 4. Hryniewicki P. 22. Jonsson T. 10. Veseli S. 45. Vladisavljevic D.
Substitutes
4. Berntsson A. 6. Einarsson D. 77. Einarsson E. 23. Heidarsson E. 12. Kjartansson A. (G) 2. Sigurdsson I. 8. Tanke
11. Agustsson G. 3. Bogdanovic B. 44. Einarsson A. 14. Jonsson D. 12. Petursson H. (G) 6. Sigurdsson J. 9. Tjorvason J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Birgisson A. ⚽,
22', Brkovic D. ↓, Agustsson G. ↑,
45', Sveinsson R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
49', Petursson J. 🟨,
52', 2 - 0, Birgisson A. ⚽, Brynjolfsson F. (A),
58', Hlifarsson K. S. ↓, Tjorvason J. ↑,
59', Hardarson A. ↓, Jonsson D. ↑,
66', 2 - 1, Gunnarsson D. ⚽, Tjorvason J. (A),
69', Hardarson S. ↓, Sigurdsson I. ↑,
69', Birgisson A. ↓, Tanke ↑,
71', Vladisavljevic D. ↓, Sigurdsson J. ↑,
72', 2 - 2, Gunnarsson D. ⚽,
76', Veseli S. 🟨,
76', Gil N. 🟨,
76', Vokes A. 🟨,
79', Sverrisson E. ↓, Einarsson E. ↑,
88', Hryniewicki P. 🟨,
89', Brynjolfsson F. ↓, Heidarsson E. ↑,
90+4', Hryniewicki P. 🟨,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Selfoss won 2.
Selfoss is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Leiknir R's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Selfoss won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:19. (average 1.6:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Selfoss won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 1.8:2.6).
Watch
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Blakala R. (G) 
Birgisson A. 
Gil N. 
Willard H. 
Brkovic D. 
Berntsson A. 
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