Match Info

World Cup - Qualification - Round 10

Date: 14 October 2025, Tuesday

Location: Stade des Martyrs (Kinshasa)

Referee: Tom A. (Rsa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	New World Sport 2
Finland	Veikkaus TV
India	FanCode, FanCode
Saudi-arabia	Shahid
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
World	FIFA+


	D.R. Congo		Sudan

	1	X	2
	1.29	5.25	12	Watch
	1.19	6.4	11.5
	1.28	5.59	13.11
	1.05	1.00	1.00	Watch
	1.26	5.49	12.7	Watch
	1.38	4.33	9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↓ (1.38)	4.68 ↑ (4.33)	9.89 ↑ (9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

D.R. Congo
71.9%

Draw
19.1%

Sudan
9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.9%

21.7%

10.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.2%

20.7%

9.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

D.R. Congo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Sudan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for D.R. Congo than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sudan than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	12.5%	0%

D.R. Congo - Sudan Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. D.R. Congo (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Sudan (7.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: D.R. Congo will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. D.R. Congo (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Sudan (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mpasi-Nzau L. (G) Le Havre 2. Wan-Bissaka A. West Ham 22. Mbemba Ch. (C) Lille 6. Mukau N. Lille 4. Tuanzebe A. Burnley 8. Moutoussamy S. Atromitos 11. Kayembe E. Watford 14. Masuaku A. Sunderland 13. Elia M. Alanyaspor 10. Bongonda T. Spartak Moscow 9. Essende S. Augsburg	21. Elneel M. (G) EL Merriekh Bentiu 3. Zaid A. 4. Abaker A. Al-Hilal Omdurman 15. Alhassan S. Al-Hilal Omdurman 22. Nooh A. G. Al Ahly Tripoli 23. Musa H. 2. Hakeem M. Al-Merreikh 8. Omer A. Al-Hilal Omdurman 19. Tabanja A. 9. Thierry S. Al Nasr 13. Taifour A. CS Sfaxien
Substitutes
5. Batubinsika D. St Etienne 16. Bertaud D. (G) 15. Bushiri R. Hibernian 20. Cipenga B. Castellon 21. Fayulu T. (G) Noah 17. Kalulu G. Aris Limassol 3. Kapuadi S. Legia 12. Kayembe J. Genk 19. Mayele F. Pyramids 7. Mbuku N. Montpellier 23. Muleka J. Konyaspor 18. Pickel C. Espanyol	16. Abdalla A. (G) 10. Abdelrahman M. Al-Hilal Omdurman 1. Abooja M. (G) 18. Al-Bahli M. 17. Alrashed M. Al-Merreikh 7. Awad Y. Al-Hilal Omdurman 14. Eisa M. Uthai Thani 12. Khamis B. Al Ahly Tripoli 20. Mohamed M. 11. Mozamil Y. Al-Hilal Omdurman
Coaches
Desabre S.	Kwesi Appiah J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', Abaker A. 🟨,
29', 1 - 0, Bongonda T. ⚽, Mukau N. (A),
45', Elia M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Alhassan S. ↓, Alrashed M. ↑,
64', Elia M. ↓, Cipenga B. ↑,
73', Thierry S. ↓, Eisa M. ↑,
73', Nooh A. G. ↓, Abdelrahman M. ↑,
73', Omer A. ↓, Awad Y. ↑,
75', Essende S. ↓, Mayele F. ↑,
75', Mukau N. ↓, Pickel C. ↑,
77', Hakeem M. 🟨,
84', Moutoussamy S. 🟨,
84', Bongonda T. ↓, Mbuku N. ↑,
84', Masuaku A. ↓, Kayembe J. ↑,

Preview

Recent performances by D.R. Congo have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Sudan is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, D.R. Congo is the clear favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, D.R. Congo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- D.R. Congo
FIFA World Cup
10.10.25	Togo - D.R. Congo	0:1 ✺
09.09.25	D.R. Congo - Senegal	2:3 ✺
05.09.25	South Sudan - D.R. Congo	1:4 ✺
African Nations Championship
17.08.25	D.R. Congo - Morocco	1:3 ✺
14.08.25	Angola - D.R. Congo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WLWLW
- Sudan
FIFA World Cup
10.10.25	Sudan - Mauritania	0:0 ✺
09.09.25	Togo - Sudan	2:0 ✺
05.09.25	Senegal - Sudan	2:0 ✺
African Nations Championship
29.08.25	Sudan - Senegal	1:2 penalties ✺
26.08.25	Madagascar - Sudan	1:0 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

FIFA World Cup
19.11.23	Sudan - D.R. Congo	1:0
Africa Cup of Nations
09.09.23	D.R. Congo - Sudan	2:0
08.06.22	Sudan - D.R. Congo	2:1

D.R. Congo - Sudan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide