Match Info

K League 2 - Round 11

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Tancheon Stadium (Seongnam)

Where to Watch on TV:


South-korea	Coupang Play, IB Sports
World	K League TV


	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma		Jeonnam Dragons

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.1	3.25	Watch
	2.08	3.2	3.3
	2.13	3.39	3.68
	2.09	3.33	3.5	Watch
	2.1	3.1	3.2
	2.04	3.18	3.39	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↓ (2.12)	3.22 ↑ (3.15)	3.39 ↑ (3.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma
44.2%

Draw
28.6%

Jeonnam Dragons
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.5%

29.2%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

28.6%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Jeonnam Dragons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jeonnam Dragons than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Jeonnam Dragons Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Seongnam will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lee Kwang-Yeon (G) 23. You Ju-An 20. Lee Sang-Min 4. Venicio 22. Jung Seung-Yong 2. Hwang Seok-Ki 14. Elionay 33. Park Su-bin (C) 11. Lee Jun-Sang 32. Yun Min-Ho 10. Villero P.	1. Choi Bong-Jin (G) 3. Kim J. 44. Noh Dong-Geon 23. Kim Gyeong-Jae 6. Kang Sin-Myeong 50. Lebon K. 8. Park Tae-Yong 77. Hong Won-Jin 20. Jung T. 19. Ronan 10. Valdivia (C)
Substitutes
28. Joung Myung-jae (G) 18. Kim Min-jae 25. Kudo S. 36. Lee Jae-Wook 8. Lee Jeong-Bin 17. Park Byeong-gyu 16. Ryu Jun-sun 19. Yang Tae-yang 5. Yu Sun	9. Ha Nam 22. Hong Seok-Hyun 11. Jeong Ji-Yong 17. Kim Beom-Su 88. Lee Jun-Hee (G) 21. Yang Ji-san 2. Yoo Ji-Ha 14. Yoon Min-ho 28. Yoon Young-seok
Coaches
Jeon Kyung-jun	Lim K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
7', Venicio 🟨,
31', Lebon K. ↓, Jeong Ji-Yong ↑,
31', Jung T. ↓, Yoo Ji-Ha ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
50', Hwang Seok-Ki ↓, Yang Tae-yang ↑,
50', Lee Jun-Sang ↓, Ryu Jun-sun ↑,
60', Kim J. 🟨,
61', Ronan ↓, Ha Nam ↑,
61', Park Tae-Yong ↓, Kim Beom-Su ↑,
72', Yun Min-Ho ↓, Kim Min-jae ↑,
72', You Ju-An ↓, Yu Sun ↑,
83', Villero P. 🟨,
83', Jeong Ji-Yong 🟨,
87', Kim Gyeong-Jae 🟨,
90+4', Elionay ↓, Kudo S. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 16).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Seongnam won 1.

Seongnam has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Jeonnam Dragons's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Seongnam may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Jeonnam Dragons has had a series of away games.

Seongnam is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Seongnam won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 18:19. (average 0.9:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Seongnam won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 0.9:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Seongnam	25	7	10	8	28:30	-2	31
16	Jeonnam	25	4	9	12	28:43	-15	21

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma
South Korean K-League 2
03.05.26	Yongin - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	1:2 ✺
25.04.26	Cheonan City - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	1:1 ✺
19.04.26	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Paju Frontier	0:1 ✺
12.04.26	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Ansan Greeners	0:1 ✺
04.04.26	Hwaseong - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WTLLW
- Jeonnam Dragons
South Korean K-League 2
25.04.26	Ansan Greeners - Jeonnam Dragons	2:1 ✺
19.04.26	Chungnam Asan - Jeonnam Dragons	2:2 ✺
11.04.26	Hwaseong - Jeonnam Dragons	1:0 ✺
04.04.26	Yongin - Jeonnam Dragons	2:2 ✺
28.03.26	Cheonan City - Jeonnam Dragons	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 2
02.11.25	Jeonnam Dragons - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	0:2
27.07.25	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Jeonnam Dragons	2:2
11.05.25	Jeonnam Dragons - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	2:1
05.10.24	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Jeonnam Dragons	0:1
23.07.24	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Jeonnam Dragons	1:2
15.05.24	Jeonnam Dragons - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	2:0
03.09.23	Jeonnam Dragons - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	0:0

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