Match Info

ASIA: AFC CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - ROUND 3

Date: 23 October 2023, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Paramount+
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Portugal	Canal 11
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub
Ukraine	Sport 1


	AGMK		Sepahan

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4	3.3	1.9
	3.2	3.4	2.15	Watch
	3.45	3.47	2.17
	3.35	3.47	2.18
	3	3.3	2.15
	3.32	3.35	2.16	Watch
	3.25	3.45	2.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.37 ↓ (3.69)	3.39 ↑ (3.31)	2.11 ↑ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AGMK
27.9%

Draw
27.7%

Sepahan
44.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.2%

28.1%

46.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.5%

28.9%

48.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AGMK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Sepahan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AGMK than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sepahan than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	16.7%	83.3%

AGMK - Sepahan Predictions

Users Predictions: Sepahan will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ergashev B. (G) 29. Denisov V. 3. Rakhmanov S. 5. Ismoilov A. 2. Komilov A. 18. Kasymov B. 17. Tursunov S. (C) 15. Rustamov O. 10. Giyosov K. 19. Khasanov M. 14. Mirakhmadov M.	1. Niazmand P. (C) 9. Rezaeian R. 58. Daneshgar M. 14. Yousefi A. 18. Zakipour M. 10. Ahmadzadeh F. 6. Dabo B. 66. Ghorbani M. 86. Hosseinnejad M. 5. Asadi R. 7. Alkasir I.
Substitutes
7. Akhmadaliev D. 33. Akhmadjonov A. 38. Bashriddinov S. 27. Boakye M. 24. Ermatov M. 40. Fazilov J. 4. Kosimov M. 25. Rahimov V. 9. Sanchez R. 34. Sunnatov U. 20. Tukhtakhujaev I. 12. Yokubov D. (G)	77. Ahmadi A. 8. Karimi M. 44. Mirzazad N. (G) 2. Mohammadi H. 91. Nilson Junior 90. Pahlevan E. 11. Rezaei K. 22. Salehi M. S. (G) 80. Sarshogh A. 99. Yazdani S.
Coaches
Kasymov M.	Morais J.

Preview

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

AGMK could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Sepahan will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC AGMK
Uzbek Cup
19.10.23	AGMK - Navbahor Namangan	3:2 penalties ✺
Uzbek League
12.10.23	Qizilqum - AGMK	1:2 ✺
07.10.23	AGMK - Sogdiana Jizzakh	3:2 ✺
AFC Champions League
02.10.23	AGMK - Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya	1:2 ✺
Uzbek League
28.09.23	Pakhtakor - AGMK	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WWWLT
- Sepahan FC
Iran Pro League
07.10.23	Sepahan - Sanat Naft	4:1 ✺
AFC Champions League
18.09.23	Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya - Sepahan	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
07.09.23	Zenit - Sepahan	4:1 ✺
Iran Pro League
29.08.23	Paykan - Sepahan	1:3 ✺
23.08.23	Sepahan - Esteghlal	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WTLWW

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