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Current Win Probability
Sepahan 55.5%
Draw 27%
Paykan 17.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
64.4%
24.4%
11.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
67.6%
23.2%
10.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sepahan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sepahan's form might have worsened.
Paykan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Paykan's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sepahan than the current prediction. (+12.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sepahan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paykan than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Paykan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Akhbari M. (G) 14. Yousefi A. 55. Hazbavi M. 58. Daneshgar M. 28. Hajsafi E. 10. Alves R. 23. Sanchez I. 19. Noorafkan O. 86. Shafiedoost A. 20. Aliyari M. 79. Lotfi M.
1. Gohari A. (G) 5. Bagheri M. 6. Bagheri M. 12. Teymouri M. 10. Jafari S. 81. Fahmi Maleki O. 23. Azarpad M. 28. Entezari N. 11. Amiri F. 9. Emamali F. 80. Sadeghi A.
Substitutes
11. Aghaeipour J. 17. Askari M. 22. Crivelli E. 30. Gulciani G. 21. Hosseini H. (G) 12. Kamali A. 2. Mohammadi H. 9. Rezaei K. 88. Rezavand A. 18. Zakipour M.
. Alimoradi A. 22. Esfandiari E. (G) 32. Hardani S. 77. Jamshidi E. 70. Karami I. 18. Madadizadeh A. 8. Najafi M. 98. Pourmohammadi M. 79. Rafiei M. 4. Salami B. 16. Tabrizi M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
40', Noorafkan O. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
63', Fahmi Maleki O. ↓, Rafiei M. ↑,
63', 1 - 0, Hazbavi M. ⚽,
68', Shafiedoost A. ↓, Crivelli E. ↑,
75', 1 - 1, Najafi M. ⚽,
84', 2 - 1, Hazbavi M. ⚽,
85', Sadeghi A. ↓, Madadizadeh A. ↑,
85', Emamali F. ↓, Alimoradi A. ↑,
85', Azarpad M. ↓, Pourmohammadi M. ↑,
90+5', Bagheri M. 🟨,
90+13', 🟨,
90+13', 🟨,
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 12).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sepahan won 3.
Sepahan is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Paykan's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).
Sepahan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Sepahan is the obvious favorite.
We predict that Sepahan will win today's game, with odds of 1.4.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sepahan won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 30:18. (average 1.5:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Sepahan won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:9. (average 1.7:0.8).
Last Results with these Odds
Sepahan - the odds 1.4 are the expected chance of winning is 64.38%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Akhbari M. (G) 
Alves R. 
Sanchez I. 
Crivelli E. 
Gulciani G. 
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