Match Info

Date: 21 May 2022, Saturday

Location: National Stadion Vasil Levski (Sofia)


	Septemvri Simitli		Hebar Pazardzhik

	1	X	2
	5.49	5.48	1.25
	9	5.9	1.24	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.25 ↑ (6.92)	5.69 ↑ (4.14)	1.25 ↓ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Septemvri Simitli
12.4%

Draw
15.7%

Hebar Pazardzhik
71.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.4%

22.5%

64.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.1%

21.9%

65.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Septemvri Simitli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Hebar Pazardzhik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hebar Pazardzhik's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Septemvri Simitli than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hebar Pazardzhik than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hebar Pazardzhik, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Septemvri Simitli - Hebar Pazardzhik Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Parva liga).

Septemvri Simitli is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Hebar is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Septemvri Simitli could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Hebar have a series of home games.

In this match Hebar is absolute favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Septemvri Simitli won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Septemvri Simitli won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Septemvri Simitli
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
15.05.22	Ludogorets II - Septemvri Simitli	4:0 ✺
04.05.22	Dobrudzha Dobrich - Septemvri Simitli	3:0 ✺
30.04.22	Septemvri Simitli - Lovech	1:2 ✺
21.04.22	Maritsa Plovdiv - Septemvri Simitli	1:2 ✺
16.04.22	Septemvri Simitli - CSKA 1948 Sofia II	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLLWL
- Hebar Pazardzhik
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
14.05.22	Hebar Pazardzhik - Marek Dupnitsa	3:0 ✺
08.05.22	Hebar Pazardzhik - Ludogorets II	2:1 ✺
30.04.22	Hebar Pazardzhik - Dobrudzha Dobrich	2:0 ✺
22.04.22	Lovech - Hebar Pazardzhik	2:0 ✺
16.04.22	Hebar Pazardzhik - Maritsa Plovdiv	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Vtora Liga
27.11.21	Hebar Pazardzhik - Septemvri Simitli	2:0
20.03.21	Hebar Pazardzhik - Septemvri Simitli	3:2
19.09.20	Septemvri Simitli - Hebar Pazardzhik	2:3

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