The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Septemvri Sofia 21.4%
Draw 27.9%
Cherno More Varna 50.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
16.7%
24%
59.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
16.2%
23.3%
61.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Septemvri Sofia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
Cherno More Varna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cherno More Varna might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Septemvri Sofia than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Septemvri Sofia that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cherno More Varna than the current prediction. (+10.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cherno More Varna could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Septemvri Sofia - Cherno More Varna Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
21. Georgiev Y. (G) 23. Schouten R. 4. Hristov M. 26. Ozornwafor V. 27. Varbanov G. 13. Onasci K. 5. Baurenski Y. 10. Stojanovic S. 33. Ivanov G. (C) 17. Fontaine N. 9. Fourrier B.
81. Tomov K. (G) 2. Panov T. 3. Atanasov Z. 28. Drobarov V. 15. Martin D. 71. Panayotov V. (C) 29. Beyhan B. 23. Tonev D. 10. Chandarov A. 77. Sidney C. 9. Padilla J.
Substitutes
18. Abou A. 25. Hamdiji W. 19. Ivkic D. 8. Kolev K. 12. Krastev N. (G) 24. Mattoir F. 7. Ribeiro E. 28. Stoichkov S. 14. Vasilev S.
16. Calcan A. 8. Donchev A. 33. Iliev P. (G) 26. Joao Bandaro 22. Kostadinov N. 19. Lazarov G. 4. Stefanov R. 24. Teles D. 39. Zlatev N.
Coaches
Arangelov H.
Iliev I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Sidney C. ⚽, Panov T. (A),
36', Beyhan B. 🟨,
42', Schouten R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Onasci K. ↓, Abou A. ↑,
46', Ivanov G. ↓, Ribeiro E. ↑,
48', 0 - 2, Panayotov V. ⚽,
55', Martin D. 🟨,
58', Fontaine N. ↓, Mattoir F. ↑,
66', 0 - 3, Padilla J. ⚽, Martin D. (A),
66', Stojanovic S. ↓, Hamdiji W. ↑,
66', Baurenski Y. ↓, Stoichkov S. ↑,
73', Beyhan B. ↓, Calcan A. ↑,
73', Tonev D. ↓, Donchev A. ↑,
78', Padilla J. ↓, Teles D. ↑,
85', Chandarov A. 🟨,
86', Chandarov A. ↓, Zlatev N. ↑,
86', Sidney C. ↓, Lazarov G. ↑,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone efbet League (Relegation Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ efbet League (Conference League Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Septemvri Sofia won 0.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Cherno More may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Cherno More is considered a favorite.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Septemvri Sofia won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:16. (average 1.5:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Septemvri Sofia won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.2:1.2).
Bulgaria
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Georgiev Y. (G) 
Schouten R. 
Ozornwafor V. 
Stojanovic S. 
Fontaine N. 
Fourrier B. 
Drobarov V. 
Martin D. 
Sidney C. 
Abou A. 
Ivkic D. 
Mattoir F. 
Calcan A. 
Joao Bandaro 
