The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Septemvri Sofia 53.3%
Draw 27.4%
Montana 19.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.3%
28.2%
25.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.3%
23.3%
30.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Septemvri Sofia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Septemvri Sofia's performance.
Montana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Montana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Septemvri Sofia than the current prediction. (-15%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Septemvri Sofia that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montana than the current prediction. (+11.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Montana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
80%
0%
20%
Septemvri Sofia - Montana Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Septemvri Sofia will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Montana will win (votes: 1 - 20%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Septemvri Sofia (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
21. Georgiev Y. (G) 13. Onasci K. 4. Hristov M. 26. Ozornwafor V. 30. Stamatov M. 18. Abou A. 5. Baurenski Y. 29. Herard F. 33. Ivanov G. (C) 17. Fontaine N. 7. Ribeiro E.
1. Rosa M. (G) 13. Soares J. 5. Markov I. 18. Iliev K. 16. Carmona Sierra D. 24. Tsingaras A. 27. Azevedo T. 14. Burov D. (C) 20. Balde U. 7. Dimitrov B. 10. Todorov A.
Substitutes
22. Georgiev P. 19. Ivkic D. 8. Kolev K. 12. Krastev N. (G) 23. Schouten R. 28. Stoichkov S. 10. Stojanovic S. 27. Varbanov G. 3. Wade S.
8. Atanasov P. 22. Beji 9. Ejike P. 25. James S. 17. Kokonov I. 30. Simeonov V. (G) 26. Slavchev R. 23. Tungarov A. 11. Vitinho
Coaches
Arangelov H.
Atanasov A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Herard F. ↓, Stojanovic S. ↑,
49', Ozornwafor V. 🟨,
51', Baurenski Y. 🟨,
57', Markov I. 🟨,
59', 1 - 0, Fontaine N. ⚽,
63', Ivanov G. ↓, Stoichkov S. ↑,
66', Azevedo T. ↓, Beji ↑,
76', Stamatov M. ↓, Wade S. ↑,
80', Fontaine N. ↓, Ivkic D. ↑,
81', Todorov A. ↓, Vitinho ↑,
82', 1 - 1, Dimitrov B. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Septemvri Sofia won 2.
Septemvri Sofia has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Montana is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Recently, Montana has had a series of home games.
In this match, Septemvri Sofia is considered a favorite.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Septemvri Sofia won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 1:0.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Septemvri Sofia won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 0.7:0.3).
Bulgaria
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Georgiev Y. (G) 
Ozornwafor V. 
Abou A. 
Herard F. 
Fontaine N. 
Ribeiro E. 
Rosa M. (G) 
Carmona Sierra D. 
Tsingaras A. 
Balde U. 
Ivkic D. 
Schouten R. 
Stojanovic S. 
Wade S. 
Vitinho 
