Match Info

Challenger Pro League - Round 6

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Stade du Pairay (Seraing)

Referee: De Keyzer T. (Bel)


	Seraing		Gent U23

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.4	2.45	Watch
	2.45	3.5	2.58
	4.95	4.13	1.60	Watch
	2.61	3.48	2.51	Watch
	2	3.6	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.91 ↑ (2.25)	3.62 ↑ (3.5)	2.47 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Seraing
33.5%

Draw
26.9%

Gent U23
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.6%

26.1%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

26.3%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Seraing has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Seraing's form might have worsened.

Gent U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gent U23's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Seraing than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Seraing, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gent U23 than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gent U23, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Seraing - Gent U23 Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Seraing will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gillekens N. (G) 28. Gaye T. 22. Scarpinati M. 6. Solheid N. (C) 5. Bukusu K. 27. Paulo da Silva T. 9. Soumah-Abbad E. 23. Diarra D. 8. Bahri W. 90. Akpa-Chukwu H. 25. Agne Ba A.	30. Peersman K. (G) 26. Lagae B. 57. Volckaert M. 38. Soumah M. 28. El Adfaoui M. 67. Soroka O. 62. Asselman W. 61. Abdullahi A. 56. Diallo M. 59. Seck E. H. 79. Vydysh R.
Substitutes
7. Bongiovanni A. 17. Boukteb B. 29. De Bolle A. (G) 10. Faye S. 3. Kebe O. 40. Landu J. 24. Lockman T. 14. Mabani F. 15. Ndiaye C. O.	60. Buggea S. 51. De Coninck V. (G) 35. De Meyer G. 73. Donny Sylla A. 31. Evers B. (G) 74. Kongolo T. 70. Mazouz J. 80. Van Hoorick B. 66. Vidarsson V.
Coaches
Caprasse K.	Matton T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, El Adfaoui M. ⚽, Diallo M. (A),
25', Soumah-Abbad E. 🟨,
33', Diallo M. 🟨,
40', Akpa-Chukwu H. ↓, Lockman T. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', Bahri W. ↓, Mabani F. ↑,
57', Soumah-Abbad E. ↓, Bongiovanni A. ↑,
64', Diallo M. ↓, De Meyer G. ↑,
64', Seck E. H. ↓, Donny Sylla A. ↑,
74', Diarra D. 🟨,
75', 0 - 2, El Adfaoui M. ⚽,
75', Gillekens N. 🟨,
78', Paulo da Silva T. ↓, Faye S. ↑,
78', Diarra D. ↓, Boukteb B. ↑,
80', Asselman W. ↓, Mazouz J. ↑,
81', Abdullahi A. ↓, Buggea S. ↑,
87', Gaye T. 🟨,
88', Lockman T. 🟨,
90', Vydysh R. ↓, Van Hoorick B. ↑,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 13 and 11)

Seraing is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Gent U23's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Gent U23 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Seraing might have a minor edge in this game.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RFC Seraing
Belgian Challenger Pro League
14.09.25	RWDM Brussels - Seraing	5:0 ✺
30.08.25	Seraing - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne	3:1 ✺
23.08.25	Genk U23 - Seraing	0:0 ✺
17.08.25	RFC Liège - Seraing	2:0 ✺
08.08.25	Seraing - Beerschot Wilrijk	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWTLL
- AA Gent U23
Belgian Challenger Pro League
29.08.25	Beveren - Gent U23	3:0 ✺
22.08.25	Gent U23 - Beerschot Wilrijk	1:1 ✺
16.08.25	Gent U23 - Anderlecht U23	0:1 ✺
08.08.25	ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne - Gent U23	1:4 ✺
Club Friendly
30.07.25	Merelbeke - Gent U23	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LTLWW

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