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Current Win Probability
Seravezza Pozzi 42%
Draw 30.3%
Siena 27.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.8%
29.7%
27.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.6%
30.3%
27%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Seravezza Pozzi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
Siena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Seravezza Pozzi than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Siena than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Seravezza Pozzi - Siena Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
26', 0 - 1, Lipari M. ⚽,
29', 0 - 2, Conti A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', 0 - 3, Lipari M. ⚽,
51', 0 - 4, Ciofi J. ⚽,
66', 1 - 4, Tognoni M. ⚽,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day โ two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group E (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group E (Play Offs: )).
Seravezza Pozzi has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Siena is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Seravezza Pozzi will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Seravezza Pozzi won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).
Including home match between the teams, Seravezza Pozzi won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
7
Seravezza Pozzi
6
3
1
2
14:5
9
10
8
Siena
6
3
1
2
13:8
5
10
Last Results with these Odds
Seravezza Pozzi - the odds 2.15 are the expected chance of winning is 42.79%, but this team recently wins 82% of matches with these odds.