The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Siena 32.2%
Draw 29.6%
Grosseto 38.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.9%
29.4%
38.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.2%
29.1%
38.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Siena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
Grosseto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
The ML Model estimate for Siena aligns with the current prediction.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grosseto than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Siena - Grosseto Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
18', 1 - 0, Lipari M. ⚽,
30', 1 - 1, Ampollini F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
The most interesting match of the day โ two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group E (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion).
Siena has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Grosseto has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Siena won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.6:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Siena won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).