The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sergipe 12.2%
Draw 22.1%
Ceará 65.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
17.7%
24.6%
57.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
17.8%
24.7%
57.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sergipe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sergipe's form might have worsened.
Ceará has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ceará's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sergipe than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sergipe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (-8.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ceará, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
100%
Sergipe - Ceará Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Ceará will win (votes: 4 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Matheus (C) 10. Adenilson 5. Adriano Jr 9. Henrique P. 8. Leo Fernandes 3. Lucao 2. Luis Roberto 6. Rafael M. 7. Ramos F. 11. Reny Max 4. Ruan Serra M.
94. Bruno Ferreira (G) 11. Aylon 70. Fabiano 77. Fernandinho 97. Lourenco 10. Lucas Mugni 3. Marllon 79. Matheus Bahia 7. Pedro Henrique 40. Ramon Menezes 26. Richardson (C)
Substitutes
17. Cebolinha 19. Dutra 20. Everson 13. Fabricio Moura 14. Fernando Junior 25. Luiz Claudio 21. Manu 1. Melo V. 15. Pedrinho 22. Soares Varjao T. 16. Tavinho 18. Vinicius Tsimuta
20. Diego 33. Eder 16. Fernando Miguel (G) 88. Fernando Sobral 27. Galeano A. 22. Martinez A. 8. Matheus Araujo 30. Nicolas 28. Recalde J. 19. Romulo 23. Willian Machado
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
16', William Menezes 🟨,
17', 0 - 1, Pedro Henrique (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Fernandinho ↓, Romulo ↑,
46', Richardson ↓, Diego ↑,
54', Rafael M. ↓, Pedrinho ↑,
55', Ruan Serra M. ↓, Fernando Junior ↑,
63', 0 - 2, Diego ⚽,
67', Ramos da Silva F. ↓, Vinicius Tsimuta ↑,
67', Lucao ↓, Fabricio Moura ↑,
73', Lourenco ↓, Fernando Sobral ↑,
73', Aylon ↓, Martinez A. ↑,
73', Adenilson ↓, Tavinho ↑,
78', Fabricio Moura 🟨,
83', Luis Roberto 🟨,
83', Lucas Mugni ↓, Galeano A. ↑,
Preview
Sergipe is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Ceará is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Ceará could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Ceará have a series of home games.
In this match Ceará is absolute favorite.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Sergipe won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1:5 (average 0.3:1.7).
Including matches at home between the teams Sergipe won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0:2 (average 0:1).
Brazil
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Matheus (C) 
Henrique P. 
Lucas Mugni 
Galeano A. 
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