Match Info

BRAZIL: COPA DO NORDESTE - ROUND 3

Date: 15 February 2023, Wednesday


	Sergipe		Vitória Salvador

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.2	3	2.2
	2.75	3.25	2.25
	3.04	2.87	2.24
	3.1	2.88	2.25
	3.13	3.08	2.27	Watch
	3.15	3	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.06 ↑ (2.81)	3.01 ↓ (3.24)	2.24 ↓ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sergipe
29.6%

Draw
30%

Vitória Salvador
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.2%

27.9%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9%

29.1%

41.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sergipe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Vitória Salvador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sergipe than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Sergipe - Vitória Salvador Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 5 and 7).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Vitória could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Sergipe won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Sergipe won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS Sergipe
Brazilian Campeonato Sergipano
12.02.23	Confiança - Sergipe	1:0 ✺
08.02.23	Sergipe - Frei Paulistano	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
05.02.23	Sergipe - Atlético de Alagoinhas	4:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Sergipano
30.01.23	Sergipe - América de Propriá	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
26.01.23	Fortaleza - Sergipe	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWWWL
- EC Vitória Salvador
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
12.02.23	Vitória Salvador - Jacuipense	1:1 ✺
08.02.23	Atlético de Alagoinhas - Vitória Salvador	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
05.02.23	CS Alagoano - Vitória Salvador	3:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
02.02.23	Vitória Salvador - Jacobinense	2:0 ✺
29.01.23	Bahia - Vitória Salvador	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
22.03.17	Sergipe - Vitória Salvador	1:2
26.01.17	Vitória Salvador - Sergipe	3:1
29.01.14	Vitória Salvador - Sergipe	5:1
26.01.14	Sergipe - Vitória Salvador	2:2

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