Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE D - ROUND 8

Date: 14 June 2023, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Sergipe		Atlético de Alagoinhas

	1	X	2
	1.46	3.7	6
	1.45	3.7	6.2
	1.48	3.65	5.9
	1.44	3.5	6.5
	1.44	4.1	6.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.51)	3.73 (3.73)	6.25 ↑ (6.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sergipe
61.6%

Draw
24%

Atlético de Alagoinhas
14.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

60.5%

24.4%

15.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.7%

23.9%

14.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sergipe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Atlético de Alagoinhas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sergipe than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético de Alagoinhas than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Sergipe - Atlético de Alagoinhas Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Sergipe will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sergipe won 3.

Sergipe is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Atlético de Alagoinhas is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Sergipe is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Sergipe won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Sergipe won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS Sergipe
Brazilian Serie D
10.06.23	Atlético de Alagoinhas - Sergipe	1:1 ✺
07.06.23	Sergipe - Retrô Brasil	0:1 ✺
03.06.23	Cruzeiro Arapiraca - Sergipe	0:3 ✺
27.05.23	Sergipe - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	2:1 ✺
20.05.23	Falcon - Sergipe	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 TLWWW
- Atlético de Alagoinhas
Brazilian Serie D
10.06.23	Atlético de Alagoinhas - Sergipe	1:1 ✺
07.06.23	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Atlético de Alagoinhas	0:1 ✺
03.06.23	Atlético de Alagoinhas - Bahia de Feira	0:0 ✺
27.05.23	Retrô Brasil - Atlético de Alagoinhas	2:1 ✺
21.05.23	Jacuipense - Atlético de Alagoinhas	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 TWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
10.06.23	Atlético de Alagoinhas - Sergipe	1:1
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
05.02.23	Sergipe - Atlético de Alagoinhas	4:0
Brazilian Serie D
11.06.22	Sergipe - Atlético de Alagoinhas	2:1
22.05.22	Atlético de Alagoinhas - Sergipe	0:0
25.07.21	Sergipe - Atlético de Alagoinhas	1:0
18.07.21	Atlético de Alagoinhas - Sergipe	0:0

Sergipe - Atlético de Alagoinhas