Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 21

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday


	Serpa		Sintrense

	1	X	2
	2.35	3	2.82
	2.48	2.98	2.74
	2.34	3.16	2.86	Watch
	2.4	2.8	2.8
	2.32	3.35	2.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (2.24)	3.06 ↓ (3.18)	2.81 ↓ (2.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Serpa
38.1%

Draw
29.6%

Sintrense
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

28.7%

30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8%

28.8%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Serpa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Sintrense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Serpa than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sintrense than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Serpa - Sintrense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
71', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 and 8).

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Serpa won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.8:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Serpa won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Sintrense	4	3	1	0	11:3	8	10
4	Serpa	4	1	3	0	6:4	2	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Serpa
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
01.03.26	Portimonense B - Serpa	0:0 ✺
22.02.26	Serpa - Atlético da Malveira	1:0 ✺
15.02.26	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira - Serpa	2:2 ✺
07.02.26	Serpa - Moncarapachense	1:1 ✺
25.01.26	Comércio e Indústria - Serpa	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TWTTW
- SU Sintrense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
01.03.26	Sintrense - Alcochetense	1:1 ✺
22.02.26	Oriental - Sintrense	0:0 ✺
15.02.26	Sintrense - Alverca B	2:1 ✺
07.02.26	Elvas - Sintrense	1:2 ✺
25.01.26	Sintrense - Juventude de Évora	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
02.11.25	Sintrense - Serpa	1:1
29.03.25	Serpa - Sintrense	0:1
08.12.24	Sintrense - Serpa	1:0
24.03.24	Serpa - Sintrense	2:2
10.12.23	Sintrense - Serpa	2:1

Serpa - Sintrense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide