Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 2

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Estádio do Real SC (Queluz)


	Real SC		Serpa

	1	X	2
	2.37	2.95	2.75
	2.3	3.15	2.7
	2.35	3.37	2.57
	2.44	3.24	2.68	Watch
	2.3	3.3	2.5
	2.34	3.38	2.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (2.09)	3.23 ↑ (3.19)	2.67 ↓ (3.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real SC
38.3%

Draw
27.9%

Serpa
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

28.1%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real SC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Serpa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Real SC - Serpa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
76', 🟥,
81', 1 - 0, ⚽,
84', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Serpa may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Real SC is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Real SC has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 2:3 (averaging 1:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Real SC against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 0:1 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Serpa	4	1	3	0	6:4	2	6
5	Real SC	4	1	3	0	8:7	1	6

Last Results with these Odds

Serpa - the odds 3.11 are the expected chance of winning is 28.85%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real SC de Queluz
Taça de Portugal
18.09.26	Real SC - Académica Coimbra	1:4 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
13.09.26	Real SC - Lajense	5:5 ✺
06.09.26	Amora - Real SC	0:1 ✺
07.04.24	Oriental - Real SC	1:0 ✺
24.03.24	Real SC - Juventude de Évora	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LTWLL
- FC Serpa
Taça de Portugal
20.09.26	Serpa - Louletano	1:2 ET ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
13.09.26	Lagoa - Serpa	0:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
29.08.26	Serpa - O Grandolense	2:0 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
16.08.26	Serpa - Setúbal	4:2 ✺
18.04.26	Oriental - Serpa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
11.02.24	Real SC - Serpa	0:1
08.10.23	Serpa - Real SC	2:2

Real SC - Serpa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide