Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 4

Date: 13 September 2026, Sunday


	Lagoa		Serpa

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.10	2.95
	1.98	3.15	3.35
	2.18	2.92	3.23
	2.29	2.98	3.11	Watch
	2.15	2.85	3.15
	2.26	3.29	2.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (2)	3.05 ↓ (3.3)	3.13 ↓ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lagoa
41.6%

Draw
29.6%

Serpa
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.8%

27.7%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lagoa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Serpa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Lagoa - Serpa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Lagoa is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Lagoa won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 2:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Lagoa won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0. (average 2.5:0).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Serpa	4	1	3	0	6:4	2	6
7	Lagoa	4	1	2	1	3:3	0	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lagoa
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
16.08.26	Mineiro Aljustrelense - Lagoa	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	Lagoa - Alcochetense	1:2 ✺
12.04.26	Portimonense B - Lagoa	1:3 ✺
04.04.26	Oriental - Lagoa	0:2 ✺
22.03.26	Lagoa - Atlético da Malveira	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 TLWWT
- FC Serpa
Taça de Portugal
29.08.26	Serpa - O Grandolense	2:0 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
16.08.26	Serpa - Setúbal	4:2 ✺
18.04.26	Oriental - Serpa	2:1 ✺
12.04.26	Serpa - Alverca B	0:1 ✺
04.04.26	Elvas - Serpa	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
17.01.26	Lagoa - Serpa	5:0
17.08.25	Serpa - Lagoa	2:1
13.04.25	Serpa - Lagoa	4:2
05.01.25	Lagoa - Serpa	0:0

Lagoa - Serpa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide