Match Info

Capixaba - Round 4

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio Municipal Roberto Siqueira Costa (Serra)


	Serra		Capixaba SC

	1	X	2
	1.35	4.65	6.5
	1.33	4.71	6.75
	1.37	4.69	6.64	Watch
	1.34	4.6	7.14
	1.66	3.6	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.75)	4.45 ↑ (3.58)	6.31 ↑ (4.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Serra
64.9%

Draw
20.6%

Capixaba SC
14.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.3%

25.6%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Serra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Serra's performance.

Capixaba SC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Capixaba SC might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Serra - Capixaba SC Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Capixaba (3.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +2 - Capixaba (1.91) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Capixaba (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pedro Henrique (G) 10. Dandan 14. Edson Mika 21. Gean Miller 11. Marcudinho 9. Patrick (C) 7. Pepeu 4. Rossales 3. Ruan Lopes 5. Walney 15. Yuri	12. Esio (G) 3. Cafe 4. Carlos 2. Davi Mineiro 8. Fernandes G. 20. Gian Carlos 6. Gilliard 9. Jeffin 7. Marcos Paulo 5. Oliveira H. 11. Pepe
Substitutes
22. Brizuela O. 20. Bruno Paixao 25. Chico 6. Conrado 12. Dudu 8. Fabio Magrao 19. Hygor 13. Jherlison 16. Marco Damasceno 2. Marcus Diniz 18. Rickelmi 17. Wendel	1. Bruno (G) 17. dos Santos D. 14. Fabiano 19. Matheus Cazares 21. Montes J. 15. Tavares G. 16. Tibil 13. Valu

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Patrick (Penalty Awarded),
41', Dandan 🟨,
42', 2 - 0, Patrick ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
66', 🟨,
68', 3 - 0, ⚽,
77', 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Capixaba (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Capixaba (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Serra may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Serra is the obvious favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Serra FC
Brazilian Campeonato Capixaba
22.01.26	Noroeste - Serra	1:1 ✺
16.01.26	Serra - Desportiva Ferroviaria	3:0 ✺
13.01.26	Rio Branco AC ES - Serra	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Capixaba 2
11.10.25	Serra - Forte Rio Bananal	1:0 ✺
03.10.25	Serra - Linhares	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20 TWTWW
- Capixaba SC
Brazilian Campeonato Capixaba
22.01.26	Capixaba SC - Rio Branco-VN	1:1 ✺
18.01.26	Forte Rio Bananal - Capixaba SC	0:2 ✺
14.01.26	Porto Vitória - Capixaba SC	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Espirito Santo
14.07.25	Noroeste - Capixaba SC	3:1 ✺
29.06.25	Rio Branco AC ES - Capixaba SC	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.1 TWLLW

Serra - Capixaba SC: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide