The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Porto Vitória 42.4%
Draw 28%
Desportiva Ferroviaria 29.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.1%
27.8%
27.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.2%
27.1%
26.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Porto Vitória has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
Desportiva Ferroviaria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Porto Vitória than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Desportiva Ferroviaria than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
Porto Vitória - Desportiva Ferroviaria Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
10', 1 - 0, Gabriel Rossetto ⚽,
20', 1 - 1, Joao Paulo (Pen),
45+13', 2 - 1, Thainler ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Penalties (4 - 3)
1, (Pen),
1, (Pen),
2, (Pen),
2, (Pen),
3, (Pen),
3, (Pen),
4, (Pen),
4, (Pen),
5, (Pen),
5, (Pen),
6, (Pen),
6, (Pen),
Preview
1st leg result: 0-1. 2nd leg.
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Espirito Santo (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Espirito Santo (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Porto Vitória won 2.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Ferroviaria may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Ferroviaria has had a series of home games.
Porto Vitória will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Porto Vitória won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.2:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Porto Vitória won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.4:0.8).
Watch
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