Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie D - Round 9

Date: 16 June 2024, Sunday

Location: Estádio Municipal Roberto Siqueira Costa (Serra)


	Serra		Itabuna

	1	X	2
	2.55	2.87	2.6
	2.65	2.9	2.65
	2.71	2.79	2.6
	2.72	2.79	2.6
	2.62	3.05	2.52
	2.65	2.9	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↓ (2.78)	2.88 ↓ (3.04)	2.6 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Serra
34%

Draw
31.3%

Itabuna
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.5%

29.8%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4%

29.7%

37.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Serra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Itabuna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Serra than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Itabuna than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Serra - Itabuna Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
4', 0 - 1, Lawan ⚽,
20', Wesley Junio 🟥,
45+5', 0 - 2, Breno J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).

Recent matches Serra is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Itabuna is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Serra could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Serra won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Serra FC
Brazilian Serie D
12.06.24	Portuguesa RJ - Serra	1:1 ✺
08.06.24	Serra - Portuguesa RJ	1:2 ✺
02.06.24	Itabuna - Serra	3:1 ✺
24.05.24	Serra - Ipatinga	1:0 ✺
21.05.24	Serra - Democrata SL	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 TLLWW
- Itabuna EC
Brazilian Serie D
13.06.24	Itabuna - Democrata SL	1:1 ✺
09.06.24	Democrata SL - Itabuna	0:2 ✺
02.06.24	Itabuna - Serra	3:1 ✺
25.05.24	Itabuna - Nova Iguaçu	0:0 ✺
18.05.24	Portuguesa RJ - Itabuna	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 TWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
02.06.24	Itabuna - Serra	3:1

Serra - Itabuna: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide