Match Info

Serie D - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 July 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Serra Branca		Uberlândia

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Serra Branca
40.1%

Draw
32%

Uberlândia
27.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

43.4%

30.7%

25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

29.7%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Serra Branca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Uberlândia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Serra Branca than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Uberlândia than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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First leg.

Serra Branca is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Uberlândia's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Serra Branca might have a minor edge in this game.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Serra Branca EC
Brazilian Serie D
28.06.26	Juazeirense - Serra Branca	0:1 ✺
21.06.26	Serra Branca - Juazeirense	2:0 ✺
14.06.26	Sergipe - Serra Branca	1:1 ✺
31.05.26	Serra Branca - Retrô Brasil	0:0 ✺
24.05.26	Decisão - Serra Branca	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WWTTW
- Uberlândia EC
Brazilian Serie D
27.06.26	Uberlândia - Rio Branco AC ES	2:2 ✺
21.06.26	Rio Branco AC ES - Uberlândia	0:2 ✺
14.06.26	Uberlândia - ABECAT Ouvidorense	0:1 ✺
31.05.26	Ivinhema - Uberlândia	1:1 ✺
24.05.26	Clube Recreativo e Atlético Catalano - Uberlândia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TWLTT

Serra Branca - Uberlândia