Match Info

Serie D - Round 9

Date: 31 May 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Serra Branca		Retrô Brasil

	1	X	2
	1.97	3.25	3.77
	2.07	2.86	3.92
	2	2.9	3.4
	1.98	3.02	3.77
	2.04	3.2	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.04)	3.05 ↓ (3.2)	3.64 ↑ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Serra Branca
45.2%

Draw
29.8%

Retrô Brasil
25%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.5%

28.4%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

28.5%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Serra Branca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Retrô Brasil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Serra Branca than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Retrô Brasil than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Serra Branca - Retrô Brasil Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Serra Branca may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Retrô has had a series of home games.

Serra Branca will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Serra Branca won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 1.5:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Serra Branca EC
Brazilian Serie D
24.05.26	Decisão - Serra Branca	0:1 ✺
16.05.26	Serra Branca - Treze	1:2 ✺
09.05.26	Serra Branca - Lagarto	0:0 ✺
02.05.26	Lagarto - Serra Branca	1:2 ✺
25.04.26	Treze - Serra Branca	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WLTWT
- Retrô Brasil
Brazilian Serie D
24.05.26	Retrô Brasil - Lagarto	1:1 ✺
17.05.26	Retrô Brasil - Decisão	2:1 ✺
09.05.26	Sergipe - Retrô Brasil	1:0 ✺
04.05.26	Retrô Brasil - Sergipe	1:3 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
29.04.26	Retrô Brasil - América RN	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
12.04.26	Retrô Brasil - Serra Branca	2:2
Club Friendly
22.12.23	Retrô Brasil - Serra Branca	3:1

Serra Branca - Retrô Brasil