Match Info

Serie D - Round 10

Date: 14 June 2026, Sunday


	Sergipe		Serra Branca

	1	X	2
	2.05	2.90	3.50
	2.02	3.00	3.50
	2.05	2.91	3.76
	2.17	2.69	3.94	Watch
	2.05	2.70	3.70
	2.06	2.83	3.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (2.04)	2.84 ↓ (3)	3.7 ↓ (3.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sergipe
43.7%

Draw
31.8%

Serra Branca
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

30.6%

24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1%

31.4%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sergipe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

The chances for Serra Branca have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sergipe than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Serra Branca than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Sergipe - Serra Branca Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
54', 1 - 0, Matheus Serra ⚽,
90+7', 1 - 1, Diego Ceara (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Sergipe will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sergipe won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS Sergipe
Brazilian Serie D
31.05.26	Decisão - Sergipe	3:2 ✺
23.05.26	Sergipe - Treze	0:1 ✺
16.05.26	Lagarto - Sergipe	1:1 ✺
09.05.26	Sergipe - Retrô Brasil	1:0 ✺
04.05.26	Retrô Brasil - Sergipe	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LLTWW
- Serra Branca EC
Brazilian Serie D
31.05.26	Serra Branca - Retrô Brasil	0:0 ✺
24.05.26	Decisão - Serra Branca	0:1 ✺
16.05.26	Serra Branca - Treze	1:2 ✺
09.05.26	Serra Branca - Lagarto	0:0 ✺
02.05.26	Lagarto - Serra Branca	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
05.04.26	Serra Branca - Sergipe	1:1

Sergipe - Serra Branca: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide