Match Info

Date: 18 November 2020, Wednesday


	Serrano FC		Angra dos Reis

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.3	3
	2.1	3.5	2.7
	2.22	3.4	3.34
	2.15	3.2	3.1
	2.16	3.38	3.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (2.12)	3.36 ↑ (3.3)	3.04 ↑ (2.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Serrano FC
42.6%

Draw
27.3%

Angra dos Reis
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.5%

27.3%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3%

20.1%

41%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Serrano FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Angra dos Reis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Serrano FC than the current prediction. (-11.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Serrano FC that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Angra dos Reis than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Angra dos Reis could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Serrano FC - Angra dos Reis Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The neighbours in a tournament table will play in a very interesting match (ranked 7 and 5).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Serrano could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Serrano will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Serrano FC Petrópolis
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
14.11.20	Artsul - Serrano FC	1:0 ✺
11.11.20	Serrano FC - São Gonçalo	1:0 ✺
04.11.20	Serrano FC - Goytacaz	1:1 ✺
31.10.20	Sampaio Corrêa FE - Serrano FC	2:2 ✺
28.10.20	Serrano FC - Campos	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWTTL
- Angra dos Reis EC
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
14.11.20	Angra dos Reis - Petrópolis	2:1 ✺
11.11.20	Maricá - Angra dos Reis	1:0 ✺
07.11.20	Angra dos Reis - Rio São Paulo	1:1 ✺
04.11.20	Duque de Caxias - Angra dos Reis	3:1 ✺
31.10.20	Angra dos Reis - Olaria	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLTLW

Serrano FC - Angra dos Reis: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide