Match Info

Date: 31 July 2021, Saturday


	Duque de Caxias		Angra dos Reis

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.3	4.5
	1.7	3.2	4.25
	1.7	3.2	4.4
	1.67	3.41	4.95
	1.73	3.38	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.81)	3.3 ↑ (3.1)	4.56 ↑ (4.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Duque de Caxias
53%

Draw
27.3%

Angra dos Reis
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.2%

29.3%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.8%

23.4%

16.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Duque de Caxias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Angra dos Reis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Duque de Caxias than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Duque de Caxias, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Angra dos Reis than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

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Preview

Duque de Caxias has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Angra dos Reis is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Duque de Caxias is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Duque de Caxias won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Duque de Caxias won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Duque de Caxias
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
28.07.21	Maricá - Duque de Caxias	1:0 ✺
24.07.21	Duque de Caxias - Audax Rio	0:1 ✺
21.07.21	Sampaio Corrêa FE - Duque de Caxias	2:0 ✺
17.07.21	Duque de Caxias - Macaé	0:0 ✺
26.06.21	Cabofriense - Duque de Caxias	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLTL
- Angra dos Reis EC
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
28.07.21	Angra dos Reis - Petrópolis	0:2 ✺
24.07.21	Artsul - Angra dos Reis	1:0 ✺
21.07.21	Angra dos Reis - Americano Rio de Janeiro	0:0 ✺
17.07.21	Friburguense - Angra dos Reis	1:1 ✺
26.06.21	Angra dos Reis - Audax Rio	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
04.11.20	Duque de Caxias - Angra dos Reis	3:1

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