Match Info

BRAZIL: Paulista A3 - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 26 March 2025, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Sertãozinho		Catanduva

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.85	2.9
	2.53	2.84	2.95	Watch
	2.49	2.78	2.97
	2.45	2.85	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↓ (3)	2.83 ↓ (3.14)	2.93 ↑ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sertãozinho
36.7%

Draw
32.2%

Catanduva
31.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

30.2%

28.9%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.4%

29.7%

42%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sertãozinho has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sertãozinho's performance.

Catanduva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Catanduva might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sertãozinho than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sertãozinho that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Catanduva than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Catanduva could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sertãozinho - Catanduva Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-0.

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Catanduva will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Sertãozinho won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:1 (average 1:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Sertãozinho won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sertãozinho FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
22.03.25	Catanduva - Sertãozinho	0:2 ✺
15.03.25	Sertãozinho - Bandeirante	1:1 ✺
08.03.25	Rio Preto - Sertãozinho	1:1 ✺
05.03.25	Atlético Monte Azul - Sertãozinho	1:1 ✺
01.03.25	Sertãozinho - Marília	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WTTTT
- Catanduva FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
22.03.25	Catanduva - Sertãozinho	0:2 ✺
15.03.25	Catanduva - Francana	2:2 ✺
08.03.25	Itapirense - Catanduva	0:1 ✺
05.03.25	União São João - Catanduva	1:0 ✺
01.03.25	Catanduva - XV de Jaú	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
22.03.25	Catanduva - Sertãozinho	0:2
25.01.25	Sertãozinho - Catanduva	0:1

Sertãozinho - Catanduva