Match Info

BRAZIL: Paulista A3 - Round 14

Date: 8 March 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Itapirense		Catanduva

	1	X	2
	2.25	3	3.1
	2.22	2.85	3.23
	2.25	2.98	3.25	Watch
	2.21	2.92	3.29
	2.25	3	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (2.22)	2.95 ↓ (3.23)	3.19 ↑ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Itapirense
40.7%

Draw
30.8%

Catanduva
28.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41%

28.2%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

27.2%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Itapirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Catanduva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Itapirense than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Catanduva than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Itapirense - Catanduva Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Itapirense will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Itapirense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SE Itapirense
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
05.03.25	XV de Jaú - Itapirense	1:0 ✺
01.03.25	Itapirense - Rio Branco de Americana	1:0 ✺
26.02.25	Rio Preto - Itapirense	0:0 ✺
22.02.25	Itapirense - União Suzano	2:0 ✺
19.02.25	Itapirense - Desportivo Brasil	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWTWL
- Catanduva FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
05.03.25	União São João - Catanduva	1:0 ✺
01.03.25	Catanduva - XV de Jaú	2:1 ✺
26.02.25	Marília - Catanduva	3:1 ✺
22.02.25	Catanduva - Lemense FC	3:2 ✺
19.02.25	Catanduva - Atlético Monte Azul	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
31.01.24	Catanduva - Itapirense	3:0

Itapirense - Catanduva