Match Info

PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 16

Date: 26 January 2025, Sunday


	Sertanense		União de Coimbra

	1	X	2
	2.37	2.95	2.75
	2.63	2.96	2.73
	2.47	3	2.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↑ (2.02)	2.97 ↓ (3.15)	2.72 ↓ (3.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sertanense
36.3%

Draw
30.5%

União de Coimbra
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.5%

28.5%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9%

23%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sertanense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sertanense's form might have worsened.

União de Coimbra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting União de Coimbra's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sertanense than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for União de Coimbra than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Sertanense - União de Coimbra Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
3', 0 - 1, Traquina ⚽,
45+1', 0 - 2, Nuno Andre (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sertanense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
19.01.25	Marinhense - Sertanense	2:0 ✺
12.01.25	Sertanense - Peniche	1:1 ✺
05.01.25	Sertanense - SB Castelo Branco	0:0 ✺
15.12.24	Alcains - Sertanense	2:0 ✺
08.12.24	Sertanense - Os Marialvas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LTTLT
- União de Coimbra
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
19.01.25	Pombal - União de Coimbra	3:2 ✺
12.01.25	União de Coimbra - Marinhense	0:2 ✺
05.01.25	União de Coimbra - Peniche	0:4 ✺
15.12.24	SB Castelo Branco - União de Coimbra	6:1 ✺
08.12.24	União de Coimbra - Alcains	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
01.09.24	União de Coimbra - Sertanense	3:2
10.02.24	Sertanense - União de Coimbra	0:1
08.10.23	União de Coimbra - Sertanense	2:0

Sertanense - União de Coimbra: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide