Match Info

Paulista A2 - Second stage - Round 5

Date: 8 April 2026, Wednesday


	Sertãozinho		Ferroviária

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.51	2.93	2.16
	3.45	2.95	2.16	Watch
	3.4	2.8	2.15
	3.43	3.02	2.18
	3.57	3.17	1.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.47 ↓ (3.51)	2.97 ↓ (3.22)	2.11 ↑ (1.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sertãozinho
26.2%

Draw
30.6%

Ferroviária
43.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.8%

28.1%

46.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.9%

27.1%

47.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sertãozinho has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Ferroviária has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sertãozinho than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Sertãozinho - Ferroviária Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Thiago M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
90+6', 🟥,
90+8', 🟥,
90+8', 🟥,

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Ferroviária may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Ferroviária might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sertãozinho won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sertãozinho FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
28.03.26	Sertãozinho - CA Juventus	0:2 ✺
22.03.26	CA Juventus - Sertãozinho	2:1 ✺
18.03.26	Ferroviária - Sertãozinho	1:2 ✺
14.03.26	Sertãozinho - São José-SP	1:2 ✺
07.03.26	São José-SP - Sertãozinho	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 LLWLW
- Associação Ferroviária de Esportes
Brazilian Serie C
04.04.26	Maringá - Ferroviária	3:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
29.03.26	Ferroviária - São José-SP	4:1 ✺
25.03.26	São José-SP - Ferroviária	0:1 ✺
18.03.26	Ferroviária - Sertãozinho	1:2 ✺
15.03.26	CA Juventus - Ferroviária	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
18.03.26	Ferroviária - Sertãozinho	1:2
14.02.26	Ferroviária - Sertãozinho	3:2

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