Match Info

Paulista A2 - Second stage - Round 1

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday


	Sertãozinho		São José-SP

	1	X	2
	3.41	2.9	2.26
	3.31	2.9	2.24	Watch
	3.3	2.8	2.2
	3.36	2.83	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.35 ↑ (3.21)	2.86 ↓ (3.05)	2.23 ↑ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sertãozinho
27.2%

Draw
31.9%

São José-SP
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.5%

30%

41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.6%

29.1%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sertãozinho has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

São José-SP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sertãozinho than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São José-SP than the current prediction. (+2%)

Sertãozinho - São José SP Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
34', 0 - 1, Michael Paulista ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
63', 1 - 1, Luketa ⚽,
90+7', 1 - 2, Clessione ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A2 (Second stage: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A2 (Second stage: )).

Recent performances by Sertãozinho have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

São José-SP is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

São José-SP may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Sertãozinho has had a series of away games.

São José-SP could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sertãozinho won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sertãozinho FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
07.03.26	São José-SP - Sertãozinho	1:2 ✺
04.03.26	Atlético Monte Azul - Sertãozinho	0:2 ✺
28.02.26	Sertãozinho - Internacional de Limeira	1:2 ✺
25.02.26	Santo André - Sertãozinho	1:2 ✺
21.02.26	Ituano - Sertãozinho	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 WWLWL
- São José-SP
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
07.03.26	São José-SP - Sertãozinho	1:2 ✺
28.02.26	Votuporanguense - São José-SP	1:2 ✺
25.02.26	São José-SP - Ituano	2:1 ✺
22.02.26	Santo André - São José-SP	0:3 ✺
18.02.26	São José-SP - Ferroviária	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
07.03.26	São José-SP - Sertãozinho	1:2

Sertãozinho - São José-SP: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide