Match Info

Paulista A2 - Second stage - Round 3

Date: 25 March 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Martins Pereira (Sao Jose dos Campos)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Xsports


	São José-SP		Ferroviária

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.66	2.71	3.06
	2.64	2.64	2.98	Watch
	2.5	2.63	2.9
	2.65	2.72	2.98
	2.5	3	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↑ (2.5)	2.74 ↓ (3)	2.91 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

São José-SP
35.3%

Draw
33.4%

Ferroviária
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

30%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

28.9%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São José-SP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Ferroviária has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São José-SP than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

São José SP - Ferroviária Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', 0 - 1, Albano ⚽,

Preview

São José-SP is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Ferroviária is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, São José-SP won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, São José-SP won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

São José-SP - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 36.01%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- São José-SP
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
18.03.26	São José-SP - CA Juventus	1:0 ✺
14.03.26	Sertãozinho - São José-SP	1:2 ✺
07.03.26	São José-SP - Sertãozinho	1:2 ✺
28.02.26	Votuporanguense - São José-SP	1:2 ✺
25.02.26	São José-SP - Ituano	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WWLWW
- Associação Ferroviária de Esportes
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
18.03.26	Ferroviária - Sertãozinho	1:2 ✺
15.03.26	CA Juventus - Ferroviária	2:1 ✺
07.03.26	Ferroviária - Linense	1:1 ✺
28.02.26	Grêmio Prudente - Ferroviária	0:2 ✺
25.02.26	Ferroviária - Votuporanguense	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
18.02.26	São José-SP - Ferroviária	1:1
16.02.25	Ferroviária - São José-SP	0:1
09.03.24	São José-SP - Ferroviária	1:2

Upcoming Matches