Match Info

Paulista A2 - First stage - Round 9

Date: 11 February 2026, Wednesday


	Sertãozinho		São Bento

	1	X	2
	1.92	3	3.85	Watch
	1.94	3.05	4.49
	1.93	2.95	4.23	Watch
	1.95	2.8	4
	1.89	2.96	4.26	Watch
	1.92	2.8	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.86)	2.93 ↓ (3.13)	4.22 ↓ (4.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sertãozinho
47.3%

Draw
31.1%

São Bento
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.2%

29.3%

21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5%

28.5%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sertãozinho has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

São Bento has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sertãozinho than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Bento than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Sertãozinho - São Bento Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Sertãozinho (1.37) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sertãozinho (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
39', 1 - 0, Luketa ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Paulista A3).

Sertãozinho has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

São Bento is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

São Bento may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Sertãozinho is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sertãozinho won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sertãozinho FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
31.01.26	Sertãozinho - Linense	0:0 ✺
28.01.26	Osasco Sporting - Sertãozinho	1:2 ✺
24.01.26	Água Santa - Sertãozinho	3:1 ✺
21.01.26	Sertãozinho - Grêmio Prudente	1:1 ✺
17.01.26	Sertãozinho - Votuporanguense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TWLTT
- EC São Bento
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
07.02.26	São Bento - Grêmio Prudente	0:0 ✺
01.02.26	Ferroviária - São Bento	2:0 ✺
28.01.26	São Bento - São José-SP	0:1 ✺
25.01.26	Ituano - São Bento	2:1 ✺
21.01.26	São Bento - Atlético Monte Azul	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
29.01.20	São Bento - Sertãozinho	1:3

Sertãozinho - São Bento: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide