Match Info
Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 4Date: 26 September 2026, SaturdayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
|---|
 Spain | Footballclub |
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Sestao |
|
Atlético Astorga |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.70 |
3.40 |
4.20 |
|
 |
1.79 |
3.30 |
3.90 |
|
 |
1.78 |
3.45 |
4.46 |
|
 |
1.75 |
3.49 |
4.37 |
 Watch |
 |
1.76 |
3.35 |
4.40 |
|
 |
1.72 |
3.65 |
4.69 |
|
 |
1.68 |
3.45 |
4.20 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.74 ↑
(1.59) |
3.44 ↑
(3.35) |
4.32 ↓
(5.45) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Sestao
52.4% | Draw
26.5% | Atlético Astorga
21.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sestao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)Atlético Astorga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sestao than the current prediction. (+7.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sestao, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Astorga than the current prediction. (-5.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Astorga, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Sestao - Atlético Astorga Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
#ad
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 14', 1 - 0, Laka A. B. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 72', 2 - 0, Delgado E. (Penalty Awarded),
- 80', Calvo A. 🟥,
Preview
Sestao has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).Performances by Atlético Astorga have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).Sestao may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.Recently, Sestao has faced a series of away games on the road.Recently, Atlético Astorga has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures. Bookmakers give the edge to Sestao for this game. These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
|
|
|
| 4 | Sestao | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 12 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 16 | Atl. Astorga | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5:7 | -2 | 3 |
|
|
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Bet £10 and get £30 in Free Bets
