Match Info

Date: 13 March 2022, Sunday


	Sestao		Peña Sport

	1	X	2
	1.22	5.5	10.5
	1.22	5.2	9.5
	1.19	4.9	16
	1.18	6.08	17.96
	1.18	6.1	14.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.2 ↓ (1.31)	5.56 ↑ (4.5)	13.74 ↑ (8.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sestao
76.8%

Draw
16.6%

Peña Sport
6.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.4%

20.2%

10.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

80.1%

17.5%

8.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sestao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sestao's performance.

Peña Sport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sestao than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peña Sport than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Sestao - Peña Sport Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Group 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs) and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Sestao in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Peña Sport is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sestao could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Sestao is absolute favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Sestao won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Sestao won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sestao River
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
05.03.22	Ardoi - Sestao	0:2 ✺
27.02.22	Sestao - Racing Rioja	2:0 ✺
19.02.22	Burgos Promesas - Sestao	0:1 ✺
13.02.22	Sestao - Arenas Club de Getxo	4:2 ✺
05.02.22	San Juan - Sestao	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WWWWW
- Peña Sport
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
06.03.22	Peña Sport - Racing Santander B	0:2 ✺
27.02.22	Cayón - Peña Sport	2:1 ✺
20.02.22	Peña Sport - Náxara	2:3 ✺
13.02.22	Peña Sport - Ardoi	3:1 ✺
06.02.22	Racing Rioja - Peña Sport	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
23.10.21	Peña Sport - Sestao	0:0
22.03.14	Sestao - Peña Sport	1:0
03.11.13	Peña Sport - Sestao	0:1
12.05.13	Peña Sport - Sestao	2:1

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