Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP A - ROUND 18

Date: 18 December 2022, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Sestri Levante		Bra

	1	X	2
	1.88	3.25	3.5
	1.85	3.05	4.2
	1.92	3.04	3.92
	1.85	3.1	3.7
	1.87	3.42	3.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.64)	3.17 ↓ (3.74)	3.8 ↓ (4.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sestri Levante
48%

Draw
28.3%

Bra
23.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55.3%

24.2%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8%

22.8%

19.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sestri Levante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sestri Levante's form might have worsened.

Bra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sestri Levante than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sestri Levante, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bra than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Sestri Levante - Bra Predictions

Users Predictions: Sestri Levante will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group A (Play Offs)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sestri Levante won 0.

Sestri Levante in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Bra is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Bra could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Sestri Levante is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Sestri Levante to win the game is with odds 1.8.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Sestri Levante won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Sestri Levante won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USD Sestri Levante 1919
Italian Serie D - Group A
11.12.22	Sestri Levante - Fezzanese	2:1 ✺
27.11.22	Sestri Levante - Gozzano	3:1 ✺
20.11.22	Vado - Sestri Levante	1:2 ✺
13.11.22	Sestri Levante - Ligorna	1:0 ✺
06.11.22	Chieri - Sestri Levante	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWWWW
- AC Bra
Italian Serie D - Group A
11.12.22	Bra - Gozzano	1:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
07.12.22	Bra - Ligorna	2:0 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group A
03.12.22	Ligorna - Bra	1:1 ✺
27.11.22	Bra - Stresa Vergante	1:0 ✺
20.11.22	Casale - Bra	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group A
10.04.22	Sestri Levante - Bra	0:0
28.11.21	Bra - Sestri Levante	3:0
16.06.21	Bra - Sestri Levante	2:2
03.02.21	Sestri Levante - Bra	0:1
23.12.18	Sestri Levante - Bra	0:0
21.02.16	Bra - Sestri Levante	1:2

Sestri Levante - Bra