The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sestri Levante 38.2%
Draw 29.5%
Saluzzo 32.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
36.3%
30.7%
33%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.2%
30%
32.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sestri Levante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
Saluzzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sestri Levante than the current prediction. (-1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saluzzo than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Sestri Levante - Saluzzo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
A determined lower-tier side seeks an essential result against mid-table opposition (ranked 15th in the Serie D - Group A (Play Out: ) and 11th).
Sestri Levante has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Saluzzo is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Sestri Levante has recorded 4 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 8:3 (averaging 1.6:0.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Sestri Levante against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 4:1 goals (averaging 2:0.5 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
10
Saluzzo
9
2
5
2
10:10
0
11
16
Sestri Levante
9
2
3
4
7:10
-3
9
Last Results with these Odds
Sestri Levante - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 36.28%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.